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Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 11:08 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 11:08 AM
Fiorentina and Torino meet at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on September 5, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. Both teams are still searching for their first points of the new Serie A season after losing their opening two league fixtures. Fiorentina sit 20th following heavy defeats to Roma and Frosinone, while 14th-placed Torino have also started with two losses. The visitors then suffered another setback on September 1, when a 1-0 defeat against Monza ended their Coppa Italia campaign. With neither side able to afford another damaging result, this third-round contest carries considerable early-season importance.
Fiorentina have endured an extremely difficult opening to the 2026/27 Serie A campaign. Fabio Grosso’s team lost 4-0 against Roma before falling 3-0 at home to Frosinone on August 29. That second defeat spoiled the club’s centenary celebrations and left the Viola with no points, no goals scored and seven conceded after two rounds. Their league averages consequently stand at 0.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per match.
The Frosinone result also created an unwanted first in Fiorentina’s history, as they had never previously lost their opening two Serie A matches without finding the net. Their broader five-match record is less severe, featuring one victory, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. However, their current league numbers underline the need for a clear response at both ends of the pitch.
Home form has not provided much reassurance. Fiorentina are winless in their last four home league games, recording three draws and scoring only once across those fixtures. The departure of Moise Kean to Como has added to their attacking concerns, although the arrival of Beto from Everton offers another possible route to improvement. Grosso is still searching for the right balance following several summer additions managed by Fabio Paratici.
Selection decisions could include Viery alongside Dragusin in central defense, while Jimenez is favored over Dodo on the right. Oulai is ready to return, with Fagioli moving toward a place on the bench. Former Torino player Njie could make his first start beside Mastantuono and Pellegrino, while Parisi is the only confirmed Fiorentina absentee mentioned for this match.
Torino have also lost both of their opening Serie A games, suffering 2-1 defeats at home to Milan and away against Sassuolo. Their season averages in the league are 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Although that defensive record is better than Fiorentina’s, Ignazio Abate’s side arrive in Firenze after three consecutive defeats across all competitions.
The latest setback was the 1-0 home loss to Monza in the Coppa Italia. Over their last five matches, Torino have registered one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The sequence leaves the visitors under pressure to stop their decline and avoid extending a run that already includes two league losses and a cup elimination.
Torino’s away league record is another concern. They have lost eight of their last 11 Serie A matches on the road, described as the worst such record during 2026 among the clubs competing in the current Serie A season. Their last five away league fixtures have also each produced fewer than 7.5 corners, suggesting that their road matches have not recently generated large corner totals.
Abate is expected to make only limited changes. Former Fiorentina defender Comuzzo could play alongside Coco and Comert, while Cacciamani and new arrival Belghali are options on the flanks. Gineitis and Fitz-Jim are set to continue in midfield, with Che Adams and Vlasic operating behind Simeone. The availability of Casadei still requires assessment.
The early-season picture points to a tense contest between teams urgently seeking stability. Fiorentina’s most obvious problem is their defensive vulnerability, having conceded seven times in two league games. Torino have been more competitive on the scoreboard, losing both Serie A fixtures by a single goal, but three straight defeats across league and cup leave them with little momentum.
There are also indicators that the match may remain controlled for significant periods. At least one team failed to score before half-time in Fiorentina’s last 26 Serie A matches, while the same occurred in 34 of their last 36 games across the wider sample. The supplied probabilities also give Under 2.5 goals a 56% chance and Both Teams To Score (No) a 54% chance. Those figures contrast with Fiorentina’s heavy opening defeats, illustrating the uncertainty created by such a small season sample.
The head-to-head record favors the hosts avoiding defeat. Across the supplied five-match summary, Fiorentina have one win, four draws and no losses against Torino, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The latest meeting finished 2-2 on February 7, 2026, while Fiorentina have also earned a positive result in each of their last eight home encounters with the Granata.
Torino’s low defensive block and direct attacking approach could target the weaknesses exposed in Fiorentina’s back line. On the other hand, their poor away run and recent cup elimination make it difficult to view the visitors as reliable favorites. Fiorentina’s home advantage, unbeaten recent head-to-head sequence and need for a reaction support the possibility of the hosts taking at least one point, even though their failure to score in the league remains a major concern.
Fiorentina vs Torino prediction from BetMines: Fiorentina or Draw (1X) with 79% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Torino
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0