The upcoming Serie A fixture between Fiorentina and Udinese at the Stadio Franchi promises to be a crucial test for both sides. The home team are enduring a nightmare season, sitting bottom of the table with only six points and still searching for their first league victory. The pressure is mounting after a series of disappointing results, and the atmosphere around the club has become increasingly tense. Udinese, on the other hand, arrive in Florence with a mid-table position and the confidence of having recently beaten Napoli, looking to take advantage of their opponent’s crisis.

Fiorentina’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Fiorentina are going through one of their toughest periods in recent years. The team have not won any of their last 15 Serie A matches, collecting just six draws and nine defeats so far this season. Their attacking output has been poor, averaging only 0.8 goals per game, while defensively they have been fragile, conceding 1.7 on average. The recent 1-0 loss to Lausanne Sport in the Conference League further deepened the crisis, extending a negative streak that has shaken confidence both on and off the pitch.

At home, the situation is equally concerning. Fiorentina have failed to win any of their seven home league matches, recording two draws and five defeats. They have also lost at half time in their last five home games and have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 matches. The team’s defensive record is among the worst in Serie A, with 26 goals conceded, including 14 in the second half of matches. Historically, Fiorentina have struggled to recover from such poor starts, and the current statistics suggest that avoiding relegation will require a dramatic turnaround.

• Ranking: 20th in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.8


• Average goals conceded: 1.8


• Over 0.5 goals at half time in last 15 home matches


• Lost at half time in 8 of last 11 home matches

Despite the bleak numbers, Fiorentina can still rely on individual talent. Moise Kean, who scored in both meetings against Udinese last season, remains a key attacking figure, though his conversion rate has been disappointing. Goalkeeper David De Gea has also struggled, posting one of the lowest save percentages in the league. The home crowd will expect a reaction, but the team’s confidence appears fragile.

Udinese’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Udinese approach this match in a far more stable position. Currently 10th in Serie A, they have shown flashes of consistency, winning six of their fifteen league matches. Their recent 1-0 victory over Napoli highlighted their defensive organisation and ability to grind out results against strong opponents. Over the last five games, Udinese have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceding 1.4.

When Udinese win, they tend to do so with clean sheets — all three of their recent victories came without conceding. However, their attack can be inconsistent, and they have failed to score in two of their last three defeats. Historically, Udinese have enjoyed some success in Florence, winning twice in their last four visits. They will be motivated to repeat last season’s 2-1 triumph at the Franchi and secure back-to-back away wins there for the first time since the late 1980s.

• Ranking: 10th in Serie A


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.1


• Average goals conceded: 1.5


• Last head-to-head: Fiorentina 2–3 Udinese (May 2025)


• Head-to-head record: Fiorentina 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

Udinese’s pressing game has been one of their strengths this season, ranking among the top Serie A teams for offensive recoveries after pressing. Their ability to create shooting opportunities from these situations could be decisive against a Fiorentina defense that often struggles under pressure. With a balanced mix of physicality and tactical discipline, the visitors will aim to exploit the home side’s defensive weaknesses.

Fiorentina vs Udinese Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Fiorentina are desperate to end their winless run, while Udinese are looking to consolidate their mid-table position. The home side’s inability to keep clean sheets and their poor first-half performances suggest that they could again find themselves chasing the game. Udinese’s compact shape and efficiency on the counterattack make them dangerous opponents, particularly against a team low on confidence.

Historically, matches between these sides have produced goals, with Fiorentina averaging two per game in their last five meetings. However, given the current form of both teams, a low-scoring encounter seems more likely. Fiorentina’s struggles in front of goal and Udinese’s solid defensive record point towards a tight contest, where one goal could decide the outcome.

BetMines Prediction: The most likely outcome for this Serie A clash is Under 2.5 goals, reflecting a balanced contest with limited scoring opportunities. The probability for this outcome stands at 49%, suggesting a cautious and tactical battle at the Stadio Franchi.