Tools
Flamengo
3 - 0
FT
Cusco FC
Prediction published on May 25, 2026 1:01 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on May 25, 2026 1:01 PM
The final matchday of the Copa Libertadores group stage brings an intriguing clash between Flamengo and Cusco FC at the iconic Maracanã. The Brazilian giants approach this encounter already assured of top spot in their group, while the Peruvian side arrives with little more than pride at stake. Despite the lack of competitive pressure, the fixture still promises intensity, with Flamengo eager to bounce back from a domestic setback and Cusco FC hoping to end their continental campaign on a positive note.
Flamengo come into this match after a 0-3 defeat against Palmeiras on May 24, a result that ended a strong home streak across competitions. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. However, their Copa Libertadores campaign has been far more convincing, with three wins and one draw from four matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game.
The Maracanã has been a fortress for the “Mengão” in continental competition. They have won 18 of their last 20 home matches in the Copa Libertadores and have not drawn any of their last 20 home fixtures in the tournament. Moreover, they have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 home games and have not trailed at half time in 18 of those 20 encounters. Their consistency is also reflected in their defensive record, having conceded under 3.5 goals in 21 of their last 22 Libertadores matches.
Although Flamengo may rotate their squad for this fixture, their depth remains one of their greatest strengths. Even with some key players rested, the team’s attacking options and defensive solidity make them clear favorites to close the group stage with another victory.
Cusco FC travel to Brazil after a difficult campaign in the Copa Libertadores, where they have collected just one point from five matches. Their season statistics show a record of zero wins, one draw, and four defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have managed one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging one goal scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
The Peruvian side’s struggles have been particularly evident away from home. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 16 away matches and have failed to win any of their last five games on the road. Despite these challenges, Cusco FC will aim to show resilience and perhaps surprise their hosts with a disciplined performance.
While Cusco FC’s defensive issues have been a recurring theme, their recent 1-0 domestic win against Atlético Grau offers a small boost in morale. However, facing Flamengo at the Maracanã remains a daunting challenge, especially given their previous 0-2 home defeat to the same opponent earlier in the group stage.
This encounter appears heavily tilted in favor of Flamengo, who have combined defensive discipline with attacking efficiency throughout the tournament. Their home record in the Copa Libertadores is exceptional, and they have shown the ability to control matches from start to finish. Even if they choose to rest some regular starters, the quality of their squad should be enough to dominate possession and create multiple scoring opportunities.
Cusco FC, on the other hand, enter this match with little to lose. Their main objective will likely be to avoid a heavy defeat and to compete with pride. However, their defensive fragility and lack of cutting edge in attack make it difficult to envision them causing an upset. The statistical trends also suggest a match with goals, as both teams have been involved in games with second-half scoring activity.
Historically, Flamengo have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning their only previous meeting 2-0 earlier in the group stage. With home advantage and superior form, the Brazilian side are expected to close their group campaign with another convincing performance.
Flamengo vs Cusco FC prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Flamengo
Cusco FC
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
7
3