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Flamengo vs Grêmio Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A 04-11-2026

Flamengo

3 - 1

FT

Grêmio

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli
moderate rain °C

Prediction published on Nov 2, 2026 10:33 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Nov 2, 2026 10:33 PM

Flamengo host Grêmio on November 4, 2026, in the 34th round of Brazil’s Serie A. Kick-off is scheduled for 22:30 local time at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in Rio de Janeiro. The teams arrive with very different league concerns: Flamengo are first and protecting their lead, while 15th-placed Grêmio are trying to move further clear of the relegation zone. Both have won their last two league games, but Flamengo’s home record and Grêmio’s away results make this a demanding trip for the visitors.

Flamengo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Flamengo have taken three wins and two draws from their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 0.6 per game. Their latest listed result was a 4-1 win away to Vasco da Gama on October 29. Across 33 Serie A matches, they have recorded 22 wins, seven draws and four defeats, with averages of 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. They have also scored at least once in each of their last 17 league fixtures.

Their broader record reinforces their status as strong hosts: Flamengo have avoided defeat in 23 of their last 24 matches and in 19 of their last 20 at home. According to the source article, they took six wins and one draw from seven home games in the second half of the league season. That consistency gives them a firm platform for this Flamengo vs Grêmio preview, especially with the visitors having won only once away from home in the same part of the campaign.

Flamengo’s unbeaten run extends into the opening stages of matches. They have not trailed at half-time in their last 13 Serie A games and have led at the interval in nine of those 13. In the league’s home fixtures, they have been ahead at half-time in eight of their last 12. The source article also lists several selection concerns: Plata is suspended, while Paquetá and Danilo are unavailable. Saúl and Valencia have trained with the group, although their availability for this match has not been confirmed. Carrascal returns after serving a suspension against Vasco.

Grêmio’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Grêmio have three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. They beat Atlético Mineiro 2-0 on November 1. In Serie A, recent victories over Coritiba, 1-0, and Athletico-PR, 2-0, followed a seven-match winless spell and helped them leave the relegation zone. Their position remains precarious, however: the source article places them just one point above it.

The visitors’ league record stands at nine wins, ten draws and 14 defeats from 33 games. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per Serie A match. While their recent results show an improvement, Grêmio have won only one away game in the second half of the league season, according to the source article. That contrast with Flamengo’s home form is central to the challenge they face here.

Grêmio also have a Copa do Brasil semi-final to consider after their 2-0 first-leg win over Atlético Mineiro. The source article says the return match is scheduled for the following Saturday and that decisions on player involvement against Flamengo will depend on fitness. Weverton and Carlos Vinicius are confirmed absentees after receiving their third yellow cards in the previous league round.

Flamengo vs Grêmio Match Analysis

Flamengo’s season-long scoring rate, 17-match league scoring streak and strong home results all point to sustained pressure on Grêmio. The hosts have also been difficult to beat: their last five matches brought no defeats and only 0.6 goals conceded per game. Grêmio’s recent wins make them a more competitive prospect than their earlier seven-match winless run suggested, but their away record remains a clear concern.

Second-half goals have been a recurring feature of both teams’ matches. At least one goal was scored after the interval in 25 of Flamengo’s last 26 Serie A fixtures and in 18 of Grêmio’s last 20 league games. The recent head-to-head summary also favours Flamengo, with three wins, one draw and one defeat across five meetings. Taken together, the home and away records provide the clearest distinction between the sides, even as Grêmio arrive with improved results.

Probable Lineups: Flamengo vs Grêmio

Flamengo: Rossi; Varela, Léo Ortiz, Léo Pereira, Ayrton Lucas; Erick Pulgar, Jorginho; Carrascal, Arrascaeta, Samuel Lino; Pedro.

Grêmio: Grando; Martins, Balbuena, Wallace; João Pedro, Noriega, Villasanti, Marlon; Enamorado, Braithwaite, Amuzu.

Flamengo vs Grêmio prediction from BetMines: Flamengo win (1) with 72% probability.

Flamengo vs Grêmio - Predictions

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Flamengo vs Grêmio: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Flamengo

Grêmio

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Flamengo and Grêmio in Serie A

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Flamengo

34

23

7

4

71:29

76

2.24

W
W
W
W
W
18

Grêmio

34

9

10

15

38:47

37

1.09

D
L
W
W
L
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation

Who will win ?

Flamengo vs Grêmio: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Flamengo vs Grêmio be played?
The Serie A match between Flamengo and Grêmio will be played on November 4, 2026 at 22:30.
Where will Flamengo vs Grêmio be played?
The match between Flamengo and Grêmio will be played at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro - Brazil
Who will referee Flamengo vs Grêmio?
The referee for the match will be Paulo Cesar Zanovelli.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Flamengo vs Grêmio in the Serie A?
The odds are: Flamengo to win 1.14, draw 8.50, Grêmio to win 17.00.
What are the betting odds for Flamengo vs Grêmio for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie A?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.30 and Under 2.5 at 3.50.
Will both Flamengo and Grêmio score in the Serie A?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Flamengo vs Grêmio in the Serie A?
The most likely correct score is 3-0, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Flamengo and Grêmio?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Flamengo and Grêmio, Flamengo won 3 times, Grêmio won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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