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Flamengo
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LDU Quito
Prediction published on May 14, 2025 2:11 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on May 14, 2025 4:30 PM
At the legendary and iconic Maracanã Stadium, Flamengo hosts Ecuadorian side LDU Quito on Matchday 5 of Group C in the Copa Libertadores. Both teams are aiming to finish in the top two to secure direct qualification to the Round of 16, avoiding the preliminary playoff round. The Brazilian side currently sits third in the group and must win this game to catch up with LDU Quito, pushing the qualification decision to the final matchday when they will face Venezuelan side Deportivo Táchira, currently bottom of the group with zero points from five games. Flamengo, three-time Copa Libertadores champions, has started well in the Brasileirão Serie A Betano, currently second behind Palmeiras after eight rounds. In June, they will also be among the top contenders in the FIFA Club World Cup, so Filipe Luis's squad is keen to avoid the extra burden of playing the Libertadores playoff round. On the other hand, LDU Quito, currently fourth in the Ecuadorian LigaPro Ecuabet after eleven matches, comes to Rio de Janeiro three points ahead of Flamengo. A win would not only seal their qualification but potentially bring them level on points with Central Córdoba, pushing Flamengo into a high-pressure final fixture. Getting a result in Brazil, however, will not be easy—both because of Flamengo's historical pedigree in the competition and due to their high-quality squad, featuring stars like Uruguayan playmaker Giorgian de Arrascaeta, and experienced ex-Juventus defenders Danilo and Alex Sandro.
Flamengo won their most recent Brasileirão Serie A match 1-0 against Bahia, thanks to the 10th goal of the season from Giorgian de Arrascaeta. In May, they lost 0-1 to Botafogo in the Copa Betano do Brasil, were defeated 2-1 by Cruzeiro in the league, and drew 1-1 with Central Córdoba in the Copa Libertadores. Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Flamengo has averaged 1.6 goals scored per game and 0.6 goals conceded.
In the Copa Libertadores, Flamengo has earned 5 points from 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring and conceding 3 goals across 4 matches. At home, they have played just one game so far—a 1-2 loss to Central Córdoba on April 10. Despite this, Flamengo has lost only 2 of their last 19 home matches in the Copa Libertadores, winning the other 17.
LDU Quito comes into this match off the back of two straight wins: a 3-2 away victory against Deportivo Táchira in the Copa Libertadores, and a 1-0 win over Macará in the Ecuadorian league. Overall, they are unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, with 3 wins and 3 draws. Their last loss came on April 14 (1-0 away to Mushuc Runa in the league).
After four matchdays, LDU Quito has 8 points in Group C, with two wins over Deportivo Táchira and two draws against Central Córdoba and Flamengo. They average 1.25 goals scored and just 0.5 goals conceded per match in the group stage. Away from home, they have a 3-2 win against Deportivo Táchira and a 0-0 draw with Central Córdoba.
Flamengo has a strong tradition in the Copa Libertadores and, despite a shaky start, will be highly motivated to secure a direct ticket to the Round of 16 by winning this crucial head-to-head against LDU Quito. In their last three matches at the Maracanã, Flamengo has demonstrated both offensive firepower and defensive solidity, scoring 11 goals and conceding none.
In their 5 previous Copa Libertadores encounters, Flamengo holds the edge with 2 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss. At home, the Brazilians are unbeaten against LDU Quito: a 2-2 draw in 2021 and a 3-1 win in 2019.
While LDU Quito has made a strong start to this year’s Libertadores campaign, they face an uphill battle in this away clash. However, they have managed to score in their last three away matches, and in both of their previous visits to the Maracanã, indicating they could still make it competitive by finding the net at least once.
For these reasons, the Flamengo vs LDU Quito Copa Libertadores prediction from the BetMines algorithm predicts a match with at least three goals in total.
FLAMENGO (4-2-3-1): Rossi; Wesley, Ortiz, Pereira, Alex Sandro; De la Cruz, Araujo; Gerson, Arrascaeta, Henrique; Pedro. Manager: Filipe Luis
LDU QUITO (4-1-4-1): Dominguez; Quintero, Mina, Allala, Erique; Gruezo; Ramirez, Villamil, Alvarado, Pastran; Arce. Manager: Pablo Sanchez
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Flamengo
LDU Quito
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1