Flamengo welcome Mirassol on September 2, 2026, at 22:30 local time for a rescheduled fourth-round fixture in Brazil’s Serie A. The match at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho brings together teams operating at opposite ends of the standings: Flamengo are second, while Mirassol occupy 16th place. The hosts enter the contest pursuing the leaders after a convincing victory in their latest outing, whereas the visitors are still searching for stability following a five-match winless run. Flamengo’s stronger campaign, impressive scoring average and home advantage make them the clear favorites, but Mirassol arrive after earning a draw against the current leaders and will try to make the contest as difficult as possible.

Flamengo Recent Form and Key Statistics

Flamengo approach this Serie A match after beating Botafogo 3-0 on August 30. Their last five games have produced three victories, one draw and one defeat, with the team averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match during that sequence. The wider league record is similarly strong: 14 wins, six draws and four losses, alongside averages of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.9 allowed.

The home side have also demonstrated consistency over their last ten matches, recording six wins, three draws and one defeat. Although occasional setbacks have interrupted their progress, the overall numbers underline why Flamengo remain involved near the top of the Serie A standings. Their attack features Pedro, Arrascaeta, Jorginho and Pulgar, while Léo Pereira, Leo Ortiz and Rossi are also among the names highlighted within the squad. The team is coached by Leonardo Jardim.

There are several notable trends surrounding Flamengo’s matches. More than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 12 games and in their last 11 home fixtures. That pattern has also appeared in their previous ten Serie A matches. Second-half action has been especially consistent, with at least one goal after the interval in Flamengo’s last 26 games, their last 19 home matches and their last 17 league fixtures.

• Serie A record: 14 wins, six draws and four defeats.
• Last five matches: three wins, one draw and one loss.
• Recent scoring average: 2.4 goals per match across the last five.
• Latest result: a 3-0 victory over Botafogo.

The opening half may still be relatively controlled in terms of total goals, as Flamengo’s last 11 home league matches have all featured fewer than 1.5 goals before the break. Even so, the hosts have led at half-time in each of their last four Serie A games and in their last three home fixtures. They have also been ahead at the interval in seven of their previous ten home league matches. Alex Sandro, De La Cruz and Vitão were identified as possible absentees while receiving treatment for injuries, with other changes potentially made for technical reasons.

Mirassol Recent Form and Key Statistics

Mirassol travel to this game after drawing 1-1 with Palmeiras on August 30. That result extended a difficult recent spell in which they have collected four draws and one defeat from five matches, without recording a victory. Across those fixtures, Mirassol averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, numbers that highlight the challenge awaiting them against one of the league’s most productive attacks.

The visitors’ complete Serie A record stands at six wins, seven draws and 11 defeats. They have averaged 1.1 goals per game while conceding 1.5. Their defensive record is a central concern ahead of this trip, with Mirassol allowing at least one goal in 23 of their last 24 league matches. The team’s latest ten-game sequence has brought one victory, six draws and three losses, showing that they have often managed to remain competitive without turning enough of those performances into wins.

Rafael Guanaes remains in charge, with Walter, João Victor, William Machado, Reinaldo, Carlos Eduardo and Alesson among the players mentioned as important options. Mirassol may be without Edson, José Aldo and Negueba because of injuries, while Neto Moura is suspended.

• Serie A record: six wins, seven draws and 11 losses.
• Last five matches: four draws and one defeat.
• Recent scoring average: 0.8 goals per match across the last five.
• Latest result: a 1-1 draw with Palmeiras.

The visitors will therefore need to improve defensively while trying to end their winless sequence. Their elimination from the Libertadores means their attention can now be directed toward their effort to remain in the top division. However, facing Flamengo away from home represents a demanding assignment, particularly given the hosts’ recent attacking output and Mirassol’s repeated concession of goals.

Flamengo vs Mirassol Match Analysis

The statistical comparison gives Flamengo a substantial advantage. They have eight more league wins than Mirassol, score an average of 0.9 more goals per game and concede 0.6 fewer. Their recent five-match numbers also point in the same direction: Flamengo have averaged 2.4 goals scored, three times Mirassol’s average of 0.8 over the corresponding period.

The head-to-head figures further strengthen the hosts’ case. Flamengo are unbeaten across the supplied three-match summary against Mirassol, with two victories and one draw. They have averaged 3.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in those meetings, while the latest encounter ended 5-1 on August 16, 2026. That result does not guarantee a repeat, but it provides a clear indication of Flamengo’s attacking capacity in this matchup.

Mirassol’s 1-1 draw with Palmeiras offers evidence that they can resist strong opposition, and their recent total of six draws in ten games shows how regularly they have avoided defeat without winning. Nevertheless, Flamengo’s sequence of half-time leads, their strong league record and Mirassol’s defensive trend all point toward sustained pressure from the home team. The supplied outcome probabilities assign Flamengo a 69% chance of winning, compared with 20% for a draw and 10% for a Mirassol victory.

From a match-pattern perspective, Flamengo’s first-half record suggests they are capable of establishing early control, although the run of under 1.5 first-half goals at home indicates that the opening period has not generally developed into a high-scoring exchange. Goals have been much more dependable after the interval, making the second half an important phase. Overall, the strongest conclusion from the available form, season averages, standings and head-to-head record is that the hosts should have the better opportunity to secure all three points.

Flamengo vs Mirassol prediction from BetMines: Flamengo win (1) with 69% probability.