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Fleetwood Town
6:45 PM
September 16, 2026
Sheffield United
Prediction published on Sep 14, 2026 7:14 PM by Dario in England - Carabao Cup | Modified on Sep 14, 2026 7:14 PM
Fleetwood Town host Sheffield United at Highbury Stadium on September 16, 2026, with a place in the last 16 of the Carabao Cup at stake. The contest begins at 18:45 local time and presents Fleetwood with the challenge of eliminating opposition from two divisions above them. The League Two side have reached this stage by defeating Chesterfield and Shrewsbury, while Sheffield United recorded a 2-1 away victory over Blackburn Rovers during their cup run. Fleetwood enter the tie unbeaten across their last five matches, but the visitors have yet to lose away from home this season. With both clubs holding perfect Carabao Cup records of two wins from two, this knockout meeting brings together Fleetwood's strong recent form and Sheffield United's encouraging results on the road.
Fleetwood Town are seventh in League Two, occupying the final promotion play-off position. They remain unbeaten in the league after recording two victories and four draws, although the number of shared points shows that converting competitive performances into wins has not always been straightforward. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw against Newport County on September 12.
The home side's broader five-match record is positive, featuring two wins, three draws and no defeats. Across that sequence, Fleetwood averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their early home league fixtures produced draws in the first two matches before a victory over Shrewsbury, with those games averaging only one goal in total. That relatively restrained home scoring pattern could be important against higher-division opposition.
Fleetwood have been particularly effective in the Carabao Cup, winning both of their matches while averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. Their clean defensive record in the competition gives them a platform from which to challenge Sheffield United. They have also been ahead at half-time in each of their last four home matches in the Carabao Cup.
The Cods have never previously reached round four, so qualification would represent new ground for the club. Their two victories in this season's tournament both came against teams from the same division, making the visit of Championship opposition a different level of test.
Sheffield United travel to Fleetwood after a 1-0 home defeat against Wolverhampton Wanderers on September 13. Their last five matches have delivered two victories, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Those figures indicate a less consistent overall sequence than Fleetwood's, but the visitors' away results provide a more encouraging picture ahead of this cup tie.
The Blades have remained unbeaten on their travels this season. Their league away record includes a victory at Blackburn and draws at Cardiff and second-placed Swansea City. They also won 2-1 away to Blackburn Rovers in the Carabao Cup, demonstrating that they can handle a knockout assignment away from home.
Like Fleetwood, Sheffield United have won both of their Carabao Cup matches this season. They are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded in the competition. Their cup numbers therefore combine attacking productivity with a low rate of goals allowed, although Fleetwood's tournament defensive average is even stronger.
Sheffield United are attempting to reach round four of the competition for the first time since their run to the semi-finals in the 2014-15 season. Their Championship status and unbeaten away sequence are significant elements of the preview, but they must respond quickly after the narrow loss to Wolverhampton Wanderers.
The contrast between Fleetwood's current momentum and Sheffield United's higher divisional status makes this an intriguing Carabao Cup fixture. Fleetwood are unbeaten in five and have not conceded in this season's competition, while Sheffield United have collected positive results in every away match played so far. Neither club has dropped a point in the cup, and both are averaging 2.5 goals scored per tournament game.
The available goal statistics offer a mixed picture. Fleetwood's recent five-match average of 2.0 goals scored suggests attacking confidence, while Sheffield United have averaged 1.6. However, Fleetwood's early home league matches averaged only one total goal, and the home team's wider record shows that at least one side was scoreless at half-time in 37 of their last 40 matches. The supplied probabilities give Under 2.5 goals a 54% chance compared with 46% for Over 2.5, while the both-teams-to-score assessment is evenly split at 50% for each outcome.
The head-to-head record is also balanced. Across the listed meetings, Fleetwood have one win, Sheffield United have one win and three matches have ended in draws. Fleetwood averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded in those encounters. The most recent meeting, played on January 24, 2017, ended in a 2-0 Sheffield United victory.
For Fleetwood, the main source of encouragement is their unbeaten run and flawless defensive return in the Carabao Cup. For Sheffield United, the strongest argument is their road record, which includes both league and cup success away from home. The win probabilities underline the competitive nature of the tie: Fleetwood are rated at 32%, the draw at 27% and Sheffield United at 42%. That does not indicate an overwhelming favorite, but it gives the visitors the clearest individual chance of progressing within the available assessment.
Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield United prediction from BetMines: Sheffield United win (2) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fleetwood Town
Sheffield United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
8
2
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1