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Fluminense
1 - 2
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Independiente Rivadavia
Prediction published on Apr 14, 2026 8:02 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on Apr 14, 2026 8:02 AM
The second matchday of the Copa Libertadores brings an exciting clash at the legendary Maracanã, where Fluminense host Independiente Rivadavia. The Brazilian side arrive under some pressure after a slow start to their continental campaign, while the visitors from Argentina are full of confidence following an impressive run of form. With both teams aiming to strengthen their position in the group, this encounter promises to be a fascinating battle between two sides with very different dynamics.
Fluminense come into this match looking to bounce back after a 1-2 defeat against Flamengo on April 12, 2026. Their recent record shows mixed results, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last five matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. In the Copa Libertadores, they began their campaign with a goalless draw against Deportivo La Guaira, leaving them still searching for their first win in the competition this season.
Despite their inconsistent domestic form, the Brazilian side have been extremely reliable at home in continental competition. They are unbeaten in their last 15 home matches in the Copa Libertadores and have avoided defeat in 21 of their last 22 home games overall. Moreover, at least one goal has been scored by Fluminense in 21 of their last 22 home fixtures, underlining their attacking consistency when playing in front of their supporters.
However, the team faces some challenges in terms of squad availability. Four players are sidelined due to injuries, including the influential Argentine midfielder Luciano Acosta, who has contributed three goals and three assists this season. His absence could affect the team’s creativity and attacking rhythm, forcing the rest of the squad to step up in this crucial fixture.
Independiente Rivadavia arrive in Rio de Janeiro as one of the early surprises of this year’s Copa Libertadores. The Argentine side began their campaign with a 1-0 victory over Bolívar and currently top the group standings. Their domestic form has been outstanding as well, with five consecutive wins, including a 3-1 triumph against Argentinos Juniors on April 11, 2026. Over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, showing both attacking power and defensive balance.
One of the most impressive aspects of their recent performances has been their ability to start strong. They have led at half time in each of their last four matches, a sign of their aggressive approach and early control of games. Away from home, they remain unbeaten in their last six matches, a streak that gives them confidence ahead of this demanding trip to Brazil.
In the Copa Libertadores, Independiente Rivadavia have shown discipline and efficiency, with one win from one match, scoring once and keeping a clean sheet. Their attacking unit has been particularly effective in the Argentine league, where they have netted 23 goals in 13 rounds. This offensive momentum could be crucial against a Fluminense side that has shown some defensive vulnerability in recent weeks.
This match presents a fascinating contrast between a home side with a strong continental pedigree and a visiting team enjoying a remarkable run of form. Fluminense will rely on their home advantage and the support of the Maracanã crowd to regain momentum after a slow start. Their defensive structure has been solid in the Libertadores, with no goals conceded so far, but the absence of key creative players could limit their attacking options.
Independiente Rivadavia, on the other hand, travel with confidence and momentum. Their recent performances suggest a team that knows how to manage different game situations, combining solid defense with quick transitions. Their ability to score early and maintain composure under pressure could make them a dangerous opponent, especially if they manage to frustrate Fluminense’s attempts to dominate possession.
Statistically, both teams have shown tendencies toward low-scoring matches in this competition. Under 2.5 goals have been recorded in 53% of their combined recent games, and both teams to score has occurred in less than half of them. This could indicate a tight and tactical encounter, where small details and set pieces might decide the outcome.
According to the latest data, Fluminense are given a 54% chance of victory, while the draw stands at 26% and Independiente Rivadavia have a 21% probability of winning. The most likely betting outcome points toward an Under 2.5 goals scenario, reflecting a 53% probability. Given both teams’ recent defensive consistency and the cautious nature of early group-stage matches, a low-scoring contest seems the most plausible outcome.
Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fluminense
Independiente Rivadavia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
10
0
7
3