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Fluminense
10:30 PM
October 28, 2026
Internacional
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 10:35 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 10:35 PM
Fluminense host Internacional on October 28, 2026, in the 33rd round of Brazil’s Serie A. The teams arrive with different priorities: fifth-placed Fluminense are trying to halt a run of three league defeats, while Internacional sit 16th after a victory that lifted them out of the relegation zone. The match at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho also brings together two contrasting recent results. Fluminense lost 2-1 to Chapecoense on October 24; Internacional beat Botafogo 3-0 on the same day. For the hosts, it is a chance to recover their form at home. For the visitors, it is an opportunity to build on a result that gave their survival campaign a boost.
Fluminense have taken one win and four defeats from their last five matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.4 per game in that stretch. Their latest league setback came against Chapecoense: Yannick Bolasie and Giovanni Augusto scored for the home side, while Guga got Fluminense’s goal in a 2-1 defeat. That result followed Serie A losses to Flamengo and Santos, both at the Maracanã.
The difficult league run came immediately after another disappointment. Fluminense beat Palmeiras in normal time in their Copa Libertadores semifinal but were eliminated 5-3 on penalties. In Serie A, their season record remains 14 wins, nine draws and nine losses, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Those season figures are stronger than their recent attacking return, making the response to three consecutive league defeats a central question ahead of this match.
The home side can nevertheless draw on a favorable record in this fixture at the Maracanã. Fluminense have not lost to Internacional there since 2023, recording two wins and three draws across five meetings in that period. Their recent league matches have also tended to produce second-half action: there has been over 0.5 second-half goals in each of their last 11 Serie A games. Across their last 10 home matches, two have ended with under 0.5 total goals.
Marcão’s side may have Thiago Silva, Renê, Savarino and Canobbio available for the starting team. Alisson, John Kennedy, Julián Millán and Martinelli remain unavailable, while Soteldo could receive playing time as he works back from discomfort in his left thigh. Those selection details matter for a team looking to turn its broader season record into a better immediate run of results.
Internacional arrive after a 3-0 win over Botafogo on October 24. Their last five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That gives the visitors a better short-term record than Fluminense, even though their overall league positions tell a different story. Internacional’s Serie A record stands at eight wins, 11 draws and 13 losses; they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
The Botafogo result followed a four-match sequence in which Internacional also beat Corinthians, drew with Grêmio and lost to Mirassol. They collected seven points across those four fixtures. Their previous meeting with Fluminense offers further encouragement: Internacional won 2-0 on May 3, 2026. That result contrasts with their winless five-game run at Fluminense’s ground since 2023, so recent head-to-head evidence depends heavily on which venue is being considered.
One away statistic presents a particular challenge for Eduardo Baptista’s team. Internacional have been behind at half-time in eight of their last 12 away matches, including six of their last 10 away games in Serie A. They have kept opponents scoreless across an entire match more than once recently, however: three of their last 13 matches have finished with under 0.5 total goals.
Internacional could regain four players who were suspended for the Botafogo win: Matheus Cunha, Mercado, Villagra and Vitinho. Maripán has recovered from injury but may start on the bench. The availability of those options gives Baptista decisions to make as his side tries to carry its latest result into a difficult away fixture.
Fluminense: Fábio; Guga, Thiago Silva, Ignácio, Renê; Nonato, Hércules, Ganso; Canobbio (Serna), Savarino, Hulk. Coach: Marcão.
Internacional: Kauan Jesus; Bruno Gomes, Mercado (Maripán), Juninho; Aguirre, Villagra, Thiago Maia, Bernabei; Vitinho, Alan Patrick; Alerrandro. Coach: Eduardo Baptista.
This Serie A preview presents a clear contrast between recent form and home history. Internacional have lost only one of their last four matches and come in after a three-goal victory. Fluminense, by comparison, have lost three straight league games and scored just 0.8 goals per match across their last five outings. On those recent results alone, the hosts cannot expect an easy return to winning ways.
The wider numbers offer Fluminense more encouragement. They are fifth to Internacional’s 16th, have won 14 league matches to the visitors’ eight, and have avoided defeat in their last five home meetings with this opponent. Internacional’s repeated half-time deficits away from home add another question for the visitors, although their 2-0 win in the first meeting of 2026 shows they have beaten Fluminense this season. With both teams seeking points for different reasons, the opening stages and Internacional’s ability to avoid another slow start could shape the contest.
Fluminense vs Internacional prediction from BetMines: Fluminense win (1) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fluminense
Internacional
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2