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Foggia
1:30 PM
October 25, 2026
Cavese
Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 12:34 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 12:34 PM
Foggia host Cavese on Sunday, October 25, in the 11th round of Serie C: Girone C. Kick-off is scheduled for 13:30 local time at Stadio Comunale Pino Zaccheria. The teams arrive with contrasting momentum: Foggia are 14th after two consecutive defeats, while seventh-placed Cavese have won three of their last five matches. Their most recent meeting ended 0-0, but both sides have been involved in higher-scoring games lately. That contrast makes this Foggia vs Cavese preview less straightforward than their league positions alone might suggest.
Foggia need a response after successive losses to Potenza and SSC Giugliano. The latter was a 3-1 defeat on October 19, adding urgency to a match against a side above them in the standings. Across their last five fixtures, Foggia have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.8. Those figures show that recent matches have brought goals at both ends, even though the results have not gone their way often enough.
Their Serie C: Girone C record stands at three wins, two draws and five defeats. Over those ten league games, Foggia have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per match. The difference between those season-long numbers and their more open recent five-game spell is worth noting: Foggia have found the net more frequently of late, but have also allowed more goals. Playing at home gives them an opportunity to halt the losing run, though the supplied form figures offer little basis for assuming an easy turnaround.
Cavese travel to Foggia in seventh place and with a 5-2 victory over Casarano on October 18 as their latest result. They have taken three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches. Their scoring average across that stretch is 2.8 goals per game, alongside 1.8 conceded. The Casarano result fits that recent pattern: Cavese have shown they can score heavily, while their defensive record leaves room for opponents to create a response.
Across ten Serie C: Girone C matches this season, Cavese have registered four wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Their stronger recent results and higher scoring rate distinguish them from Foggia, but neither side's concession figures suggest complete defensive security. There is also an unusual detail in Cavese's away record: four of their last 17 away matches in this competition finished with no goals for either team. Across all away matches covered by the supplied figures, that has happened four times in the last 18. Those scoreless games provide a counterpoint to Cavese's recent goal-heavy results.
The latest head-to-head meeting finished 0-0 on March 22, 2026. In the five meetings covered by the supplied summary, Foggia have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Those averages point to a much quieter head-to-head record than either team's recent five-match scoring and concession rates. They do not guarantee another goalless contest, but they are a relevant part of the picture when assessing this fixture.
The outcome appears finely balanced. The supplied win probabilities give Foggia 35%, a draw 31% and Cavese 34%. Foggia have home advantage but arrive after back-to-back defeats; Cavese have better recent results but have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last five games. Rather than indicating a clear favourite, those numbers underline how much may depend on whether this match resembles the teams' recent fixtures or their low-scoring meetings with each other.
Goals data present the same tension. Foggia's last five matches have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Cavese's have averaged 2.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. On recent form alone, a quiet game would be difficult to take for granted. Yet the previous 0-0, the low head-to-head goal averages and Cavese's record of scoreless away fixtures all support a more cautious assessment. The supplied over/under figures assign 64% to Under 2.5 goals, making a lower-scoring outcome the most coherent single selection despite the recent attacking numbers.
Foggia vs Cavese prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Foggia
Cavese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
6
4