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Prediction published on Dec 11, 2025 5:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Dec 11, 2025 5:03 PM
The upcoming clash between Forlì and Athletic Carpi in Serie C: Girone B promises to be a crucial encounter in the race for the promotion play-offs. Both sides have exceeded expectations so far, with Carpi currently sitting fifth in the standings and Forlì holding ninth place, still within the play-off zone. The match, scheduled for Saturday, December 13 at 17:30, could play a decisive role in shaping the ambitions of both clubs as the season progresses.
Forlì are going through a difficult spell, having failed to win any of their last five matches. Their recent 3-0 defeat against Ascoli on December 8 highlighted the team’s defensive struggles, as they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game over that period. In those five fixtures, Forlì managed just one draw and four losses, scoring an average of one goal per match.
Across the season, Forlì’s record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Despite their current slump, the team has shown resilience at times, particularly in the second half of matches — there have been over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last 12 league fixtures. This trend suggests that Forlì often grow into games, even if results have not gone their way recently.
Athletic Carpi approach this fixture in far better form. They are unbeaten in their last two matches and have lost only once in their previous five outings. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Vis Pesaro on December 8, which followed a run of three wins and one defeat. Carpi’s defensive solidity has been a key factor in their success, conceding just 0.4 goals per game across their last five matches.
Over the course of the season, Carpi have recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Their ability to control games and limit opponents’ chances has been particularly evident, with under 10.5 corners taken in each of their last 15 league fixtures. This statistic reflects a disciplined and compact style of play that often keeps matches tight and low-scoring.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting momentum. Forlì are desperate to halt their poor run and rediscover the form that kept them in the top half earlier in the season, while Carpi will aim to consolidate their position in the play-off zone. The home side’s recent defensive issues could be a concern, especially against a Carpi team that has shown consistency and balance between attack and defense.
However, both teams’ season averages and recent results suggest that this is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. Forlì’s matches often open up in the second half, but Carpi’s disciplined approach and low corner counts point toward a cautious tactical battle. Given these trends, a game with few goals seems the most plausible outcome.
According to the latest probabilities, the match remains finely balanced: Forlì have a 44% chance of winning, the draw stands at 27%, and an Athletic Carpi victory is estimated at 30%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option is rated at 51%, while the Under 2.5 goals outcome carries a 55% likelihood, reinforcing the expectation of a tight contest.
Forlì vs Athletic Carpi prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Forlì
AC Carpi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3