Fortuna Sittard welcome Ajax to the Fortuna Sittard Stadion on September 12 for an Eredivisie fixture that brings together two teams separated by only two places in the rankings. Fortuna begin the match in sixth position, while Ajax are eighth. The hosts have built momentum with consecutive 3-2 away victories over ADO Den Haag and FC Groningen, but their earlier 2-0 home defeat against AZ Alkmaar showed that there is still room for improvement when facing strong opposition. Ajax travel to Sittard after a 3-1 loss to PSV, although previous 4-0 and 5-3 victories over SC Telstar and Sion respectively underline their considerable scoring potential. With both sides averaging more than two goals per match in their recent fixtures, this Eredivisie contest has the statistical profile of an open and entertaining encounter.

Fortuna Sittard Recent Form and Key Statistics

Fortuna Sittard have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per game during that sequence while conceding 1.8. Their Eredivisie record follows exactly the same pattern, with three victories, one draw and one loss, alongside averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.

The latest result was a 3-2 victory away to ADO Den Haag on September 6. That win followed another 3-2 success at FC Groningen, giving Fortuna two positive results and ten combined goals across those matches. Mohamed Ihattaren is identified as an important figure as the home side look to maintain that attacking momentum against Ajax.

Fortuna's offensive numbers are encouraging, but their defensive record offers Ajax a route into the contest. The hosts have conceded at least once in each of their last 28 matches, including their previous 27 Eredivisie games. The same pattern has appeared at home, where Fortuna have allowed at least one goal in 14 consecutive fixtures and in their last 13 league matches.

• At least two total goals have been recorded in Fortuna's last 24 matches.
• Their previous 23 Eredivisie fixtures have also produced over 1.5 total goals.
• Fortuna's last 16 home matches have contained at least two goals.
• A second-half goal has been scored in each of their previous 16 home fixtures.
• More than 7.5 corners have been taken in Fortuna's last 18 home matches.

Those sequences suggest that Fortuna matches regularly provide attacking activity after the interval as well as goals across the full 90 minutes. The challenge for the hosts will be to preserve their recent scoring level while becoming more secure without the ball.

Ajax Recent Form and Key Statistics

Ajax also enter this game with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five outings. Their matches have been particularly productive, with the visitors averaging 3.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded during that run. In the Eredivisie this season, Ajax have two wins, one draw and one loss, scoring an average of 2.3 goals and conceding 1.3 per fixture.

The 3-1 defeat against PSV on September 5 interrupted their progress and exposed defensive vulnerability. However, Ajax had already demonstrated their attacking capacity through a 4-0 win against SC Telstar and a 5-3 victory over Sion. Those results show why the visitors remain dangerous despite arriving after a setback.

Goals have been a persistent feature of Ajax's recent schedule. Each of their last 10 matches has produced over 1.5 total goals, while their previous six have all gone beyond 3.5. A goal has also been scored after half-time in every one of their last 10 games. At the same time, Ajax have been difficult to trail early in away league fixtures, avoiding a half-time deficit in each of their last 13 Eredivisie matches on the road.

• Ajax have avoided defeat at half-time in 26 of their last 27 Eredivisie games.
• They have not been behind at the interval in 28 of their last 30 matches across all competitions.
• Ajax have led at half-time in six of their previous 10 fixtures.
• The visitors are assigned a 64% win probability, compared with 16% for Fortuna and 20% for the draw.

Ajax will be looking to restore the attacking dominance seen before the PSV defeat. Their ability to score heavily makes them a major threat, although conceding an average of two goals across the last five matches means Fortuna should also see opportunities.

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Match Analysis

The statistical picture points towards a contest in which both teams can contribute offensively. Fortuna have scored three times in each of their last two matches, while Ajax are averaging more than three goals per game across their latest five. Neither side arrives with a flawless defensive profile: Fortuna's long run without a clean sheet is particularly notable, and Ajax conceded three in their most recent outing.

The recent head-to-head record favors Ajax. From the five meetings included in the summary, Fortuna have no wins, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. The latest encounter ended 4-1 on February 14, 2026. That history supports the visitors' status as favorites, but Fortuna's current attacking form should prevent Ajax from approaching the game without caution.

Fortuna are likely to need balance between maintaining their forward momentum and limiting the space available to an Ajax team that has produced several high-scoring performances. For the visitors, controlling possession and keeping pressure in the home half could help them respond to the PSV defeat. Nevertheless, Fortuna's sequence of scoring five goals across their last two away wins gives the hosts a credible attacking platform.

The broader goal trends strengthen the expectation of an eventful match. Over 2.5 goals carries a 61% probability in the supplied data, while both teams to score is assessed at 55%. Ajax's last six matches have all featured more than 3.5 goals, and Fortuna's last 24 have consistently cleared the 1.5-goal line. With second-half goals also recurring regularly in the records of both clubs, the game may remain active beyond the opening period.

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 61% probability.