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Fortuna Sittard
2 - 1
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Excelsior
Prediction published on Feb 18, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Feb 18, 2026 8:02 PM
The upcoming Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior promises to be a balanced and entertaining encounter. Scheduled for February 20, this fixture brings together two mid-table sides level on points, both eager to climb higher in the standings. With Fortuna sitting 11th and Excelsior just behind in 12th, the match at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion could prove decisive in shaping their ambitions for the remainder of the season.
Fortuna Sittard enter this round struggling to rediscover their winning rhythm. The team has gone three consecutive matches without a victory, including a heavy 4-1 defeat against Ajax on February 14. Their recent run of results shows inconsistency: one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the Eredivisie season, Fortuna have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, scoring an average of 1.5 goals while conceding 1.8.
Despite their defensive fragility, Fortuna remain a threat going forward, having scored in each of their last 12 home matches. Their attacking intent is often visible early on, with over 0.5 goals at half time in all of their last 12 games. However, their inability to keep clean sheets — conceding in every one of those 12 fixtures — continues to undermine their progress. The home crowd will expect a reaction, especially after the recent setback against Ajax, and the team’s earlier 4-3 win over AZ Alkmaar serves as proof of their offensive potential when confidence is high.
Excelsior travel to Sittard after a narrow 1-2 loss to AZ Alkmaar that ended their unbeaten streak. Before that defeat, they had shown solid resilience with a 2-0 win at NAC Breda and three consecutive draws against Ajax, FC Twente, and Telstar. Their last five matches have produced 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Over the season, Excelsior’s record mirrors Fortuna’s — 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats — though their attack has been slightly less prolific, averaging 1.1 goals per game.
Excelsior’s away form has been mixed, with under 0.5 goals scored in two of their last ten away fixtures, suggesting occasional struggles in front of goal on the road. Nevertheless, their ability to hold strong opponents like Ajax and Twente to draws highlights their defensive organization and tactical discipline. The visitors will aim to rediscover the balance that characterized their earlier unbeaten run, combining compact defending with quick transitions to exploit Fortuna’s defensive lapses.
The recent meetings between these two sides have been evenly matched. In their last five head-to-head encounters, both teams have won twice and drawn once, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceded per side. The most recent clash ended 1-0 in October 2025, showing how tight these contests can be.
From a tactical perspective, Fortuna Sittard are expected to adopt a balanced approach, seeking to control possession and use their home advantage to press high. Their attacking play often produces early chances, but defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. Excelsior, on the other hand, are likely to rely on their structured defense and counter-attacking opportunities, aiming to frustrate the hosts and capitalize on any mistakes. Given both teams’ tendency to score and concede regularly, this fixture could deliver goals at both ends.
Both sides enter this match with identical records and similar strengths and weaknesses. Fortuna’s home advantage and attacking consistency make them slight favorites, but Excelsior’s resilience and recent performances against top teams suggest they won’t be easy to break down. The statistics point toward an open game, with both teams likely to find the net given their scoring patterns and defensive vulnerabilities.
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
7
3
8
2