Tools
Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 2:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 2:03 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Frosinone and Carrarese promises to be an intriguing encounter as both teams aim to close their campaigns on a high note. Scheduled for Saturday at 15:00, this match marks the thirty-sixth round of the season and could have significant implications for promotion and playoff ambitions. Frosinone are chasing direct promotion, while Carrarese remain in contention for a playoff spot. Both sides have improved compared to last season, and their current form suggests an open and competitive battle.
Frosinone enter this fixture in excellent shape, sitting second in the Serie B standings with 72 points, level with Monza and just three behind the leaders. Their consistency has been remarkable, losing only to the top two sides all season. The Ciociari have collected 29 points more than last year, when they were fighting to avoid relegation, highlighting their impressive progress.
Recent performances underline their dominance: four wins and one draw in their last five matches, including a 1-2 away victory against Modena on April 18. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in that period. Over the entire season, Frosinone’s record stands at 20 wins, 12 draws, and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their attacking consistency is impressive — they have scored in each of their last 27 Serie B matches and in all of their last 13 home fixtures.
At home, Frosinone are particularly reliable, rarely dropping points against lower-ranked opponents. They have remained unbeaten in 26 of their last 27 league matches, showing both resilience and attacking flair. Matches involving Frosinone tend to be lively, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in their last 14 Serie B games and goals in the second half in 20 of their last 22 fixtures. This pattern suggests that the hosts often find ways to break through even in tight contests.
Carrarese approach this match with 43 points, sitting just outside the playoff zone and only one point away from entering it. They have already surpassed expectations, securing safety early and improving on last season’s tally. Despite recent setbacks against Reggiana and Pescara, their attacking department remains a bright spot, with several players contributing regularly to the scoresheet.
In their last five matches, Carrarese have achieved three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 10 wins, 13 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Away from home, their matches tend to be open and entertaining — Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 19 of their last 20 away Serie B fixtures, and goals in the second half have occurred in 18 of their last 20 away games.
However, Carrarese often struggle to impose themselves early in matches. They have failed to lead at halftime in 25 of their last 27 Serie B games and have lost the first half in eight of their last eleven away fixtures. This trend could be significant against a Frosinone side known for strong starts and efficient game management.
Historically, Frosinone have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings and losing only once. The most recent encounter ended 0-2 in favor of Frosinone on November 1, 2025. Across these matches, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded, underlining their dominance.
Tactically, this match could follow a familiar pattern: Frosinone controlling possession and dictating tempo, while Carrarese look to exploit spaces on the counterattack. The hosts’ attacking consistency and home advantage make them favorites, but Carrarese’s offensive potential means they are capable of finding the net. Given both teams’ trends, goals in both halves are likely, and the visitors could trouble the Frosinone defense despite the difference in quality.
Expect an open contest with plenty of attacking intent. Frosinone’s ability to maintain pressure throughout the match and Carrarese’s willingness to push forward suggest a game where both sides could score, even if the home team ultimately prevails.
Based on current form and statistical indicators, Frosinone are clear favorites to win this match. Their unbeaten run, scoring consistency, and superior defensive organization give them a strong edge. However, Carrarese have shown enough attacking quality to find the net, particularly given their recent scoring record away from home.
The most likely scenario is a home win with both teams scoring. Frosinone’s attacking rhythm should be enough to secure three points, but Carrarese’s offensive resilience could prevent a clean sheet for the hosts. Fans can expect a lively encounter with multiple goal opportunities and a competitive spirit from both sides.
Frosinone vs Carrarese prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Frosinone
Carrarese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1