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Prediction published on Sep 18, 2026 1:08 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 18, 2026 1:08 PM
Frosinone host Como at Stadio Benito Stirpe on September 20, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. This Serie A match brings together two unbeaten-in-form sides after encouraging starts to the campaign. Frosinone sit seventh with seven points from four games, equalling their best opening at this stage of a Serie A season, while third-placed Como have collected ten points. The visitors enter as slight favorites, but the home side have repeatedly shown that they can compete effectively, losing only once in their opening four league fixtures. With both teams averaging at least 1.8 goals per Serie A match and regularly making fast starts, the contest has the ingredients to become one of the most interesting fixtures of the fifth round.
Frosinone come into this game after a 1-1 draw against Genoa on September 12. Their Serie A record stands at two wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Across their last five outings, the Canarini have recorded two victories, two draws and one loss, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while again conceding 1.0 per game.
One of the clearest strengths behind that start has been Frosinone's consistency in front of goal. They have scored at least once in 35 of their last 36 matches and have avoided defeat in 20 of their previous 21. They have also been ahead at half-time in each of their last three Serie A fixtures, underlining their ability to approach games aggressively and establish an early advantage.
The home factor provides another source of encouragement. Frosinone won their most recent home league match 3-2 against Venezia and can now secure consecutive Serie A home victories for the first time since October-November 2023. Their counter-attacking threat could be important: they are one of the two teams to have attempted the most shots following counter-attacks in the competition, with seven.
Kvernadze has scored in each of the last two Serie A rounds and will be one of the home team's notable attacking options. Florian Grillitsch is doubtful, with his possible absence potentially affecting the choices in central areas. Even so, the available results suggest that Frosinone are capable of causing difficulties for an opponent that has otherwise limited chances efficiently.
Como travel to Frosinone unbeaten in their opening four Serie A matches, having registered three wins and one draw. They defeated Parma 2-1 on September 14, with Ramon and Kaiki scoring the goals. Over their last five fixtures, Como have produced four victories and one draw, averaging an impressive 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
The visitors' league numbers are similarly strong. Como average 2.3 goals per Serie A match while allowing 1.0, a balance that illustrates why they have quickly collected ten points. Their wider recent record also includes a 4-1 Champions League victory over RB Leipzig, described as Como's first European match. That result forms part of a convincing period in which the team have maintained their attacking output without sacrificing defensive reliability.
Como's away performances offer particularly significant evidence. Since the beginning of 2026, they have collected 30 away points in Serie A through nine wins, three draws and only one defeat across 13 matches. Their 26 away goals over that period represent the joint-best attacking return in the division, while four of those goals came in their latest trip to Genoa.
Fast starts are another central theme. Como have led at half-time in their last four matches, including each of their previous three Serie A games. Away from home, they have been ahead at the interval in nine of their last 13 fixtures and in eight of their last 12 Serie A trips. Meanwhile, their defensive structure has conceded only 11 shots on target in the current league season, the lowest figure in the competition.
Baturina has directly contributed to three goals in his last two away Serie A appearances, scoring twice and providing one assist. Addai is unavailable, while Douvikas is expected to return to the starting side. These details leave Como with a mixture of strong collective numbers and several individual attacking contributions before the trip.
Frosinone: Palmisani; Oyono, Calvani, Cittadini, Bracaglia; Schmid, Calò, Masini; Ghedjemis, Raimondo, Kvernadze.
No complete probable Como lineup is provided, although Douvikas is expected to start and Addai is unavailable.
This will be the first Serie A meeting between the clubs. Their previous league encounters took place in Serie B and Serie C, with Frosinone winning four of the last five. The most recent head-to-head match ended 2-0 on February 4, 2023, and the overall summary from the supplied meetings gives Frosinone four wins and Como one, with the home side averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
Current form, however, gives Como a narrow statistical advantage. The match probabilities place a Como victory at 46%, compared with 28% for Frosinone and 26% for the draw. The visitors combine an unbeaten league start with an excellent away record, but Frosinone's long scoring sequence, strong overall unbeaten run and capacity to create on the counter mean this is unlikely to be a straightforward assignment.
Goals are supported by several indicators. Both teams to score carries a 57% probability, while over 2.5 goals is rated at 54%. Five of the previous six direct meetings produced more than 1.5 goals, and both sides currently concede an average of one goal per Serie A game. Frosinone's 1.8-goal league average and Como's 2.3 further strengthen the possibility of an open contest.
The strongest common pattern concerns the opening period. Frosinone have led at half-time in their last three Serie A matches, while Como have done so in their last three league games and their last four fixtures overall. Como's repeated half-time advantages away from home provide additional support for expecting early goalmouth action. Whichever team takes control, the available numbers point clearly toward at least one first-half breakthrough.
Frosinone vs Como prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 84% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Frosinone
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
7
3
6
4