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Prediction published on Aug 14, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Aug 14, 2026 5:02 PM
Frosinone welcome Juve Stabia in the Coppa Italia round of 64 at 18:00 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. The match takes place at the Benito Stirpe and represents the first competitive assignment of the season for both clubs. Frosinone approach the tie with renewed optimism after returning to Serie A, while Juve Stabia begin a new chapter following a seventh-place finish and participation in the Serie B playoffs. With qualification at stake in a single cup fixture, each side will be looking to make an immediate statement. The hosts have the advantage of playing in front of their own supporters, but Juve Stabia's scoring numbers suggest that the visitors cannot be dismissed.
Frosinone enter the Coppa Italia after a reasonable, if not entirely convincing, pre-season. Their latest match ended in a 2-1 defeat against Lazio on August 9, providing a demanding final test before competitive football begins. Across their last five matches, the home side have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game during that sequence, numbers that underline their attacking potential while also showing that they have not always kept opponents out.
The club retained Massimiliano Alvini following promotion to Serie A, giving the squad continuity ahead of the new campaign. A change in ownership has also brought additional optimism and ambition, increasing the desire to begin the season positively at home. Their attacking consistency is one of the clearest points in their favour: Frosinone have scored at least once in each of their last 30 matches, including all of their previous 15 home fixtures.
Second-half action has been another recurring feature of Frosinone's games. At least one goal was scored after the interval in 19 of their last 20 matches. They have also avoided going into half-time behind in 27 of their previous 30 fixtures. Those trends indicate a side that generally stays competitive during the opening period and regularly contributes to decisive moments later in the contest.
Juve Stabia also make their first competitive appearance of the season in this cup tie. They arrive after losing 2-0 to Campobasso on August 9. Their last five results consist of two victories and three defeats, with no draws. Despite that uneven record, they have matched Frosinone's recent attacking average of 2.0 goals per match, while conceding an average of 1.2.
The visitors come into the campaign after an impressive season in which they finished seventh and reached the Serie B playoffs. However, this match brings the challenge of facing a team that has since moved into a higher division, and Juve Stabia must do so away from home. There has also been a change on the bench, with Pietro De Giorgio succeeding Ignazio Abate after his work at Potenza. The opening Coppa Italia fixture therefore marks the beginning of a fresh phase for the squad.
Juve Stabia's recent games have consistently delivered action after the break. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in each of their last 12 matches. Their Coppa Italia starts away from home have been less encouraging, as they have been behind at half-time in their last three away fixtures in the competition. The same half-time pattern applies to their previous three Coppa Italia matches overall.
Another notable trend concerns corners. Fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in 19 of Juve Stabia's last 20 away matches. That statistic points to a repeated pattern in their matches on the road, although the central challenge here will be responding to Frosinone's long scoring run and home advantage.
The available statistics give Frosinone several reasons for confidence. Their promotion, home setting and reliable scoring record provide a strong platform for this knockout fixture. Scoring in 30 consecutive matches is particularly significant, while their record of finding the net in 15 straight home games suggests that Juve Stabia will face sustained pressure at some stage. Frosinone's tendency to avoid trailing at the interval could also be important if the opening exchanges are cautious.
Juve Stabia, however, have averaged the same number of goals as their opponents across the last five matches. Their recent form has been less stable, with three defeats in that period, but their previous campaign showed their ability to compete effectively. The key concern is the combination of an away assignment against higher-division opposition and a sequence of poor first-half outcomes in Coppa Italia.
The head-to-head record further strengthens Frosinone's position. Across the recorded meetings, they have collected two wins and three draws without a defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The most recent encounter, played on May 1, 2026, ended in a 1-0 Frosinone victory. Even so, both teams have recently averaged two goals per game, and their strong second-half scoring trends mean the contest could remain open until after the interval. Frosinone appear to hold the clearer contextual advantages, while Juve Stabia must improve on their latest 2-0 loss to challenge for qualification.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Frosinone
Juve Stabia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
8
2