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Prediction published on Dec 6, 2025 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Dec 6, 2025 5:01 PM
The fifteenth round of Serie B brings an intriguing clash at the Benito Stirpe Stadium on Monday afternoon, as Frosinone host Juve Stabia. The home side are enjoying one of their best seasons in recent years, while the visitors are looking to rediscover their early-season rhythm after a slight dip in form. With both teams positioned in the top half of the table, this encounter promises to be a key test for their promotion and playoff ambitions.
Frosinone have been one of the standout teams in Serie B this season. After a disappointing previous campaign where survival was their only consolation, the Ciociari have bounced back strongly in 2025/26. They currently sit second in the standings, just two points behind the leaders and two ahead of third place. Their recent form has been exceptional, collecting 13 points from the last 15 available following earlier defeats against Venezia and Monza.
Their overall record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses reflects a balanced and efficient side. Offensively, they average 1.9 goals per game, while conceding less than one on average (0.9). In their last five matches, Frosinone have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring 2.4 goals per match and conceding only 0.8. Their most recent outing, a 1-0 away victory over Reggiana on November 29, further underlined their defensive solidity and ability to grind out results.
At home, the Benito Stirpe has become a fortress. Frosinone have won at half time in 7 of their last 11 home matches and in 10 of their last 15 league games overall. This consistency in starting strong has been a major factor in their rise up the table. With over a week to prepare for this fixture, coach and players alike will be eager to maintain momentum and keep pressure on the top spot.
Juve Stabia have also enjoyed a respectable campaign so far. After finishing fifth last season—a remarkable achievement for the club—the Vespe currently occupy ninth place in the table. Their record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats shows a team that is difficult to beat but has struggled to turn draws into victories. Despite this, their defensive organization and work rate have kept them competitive in most matches.
However, recent performances have been less convincing. In their last five games, Juve Stabia have managed just one win, two draws, and two losses, scoring only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their most recent result, a 0-0 draw against Bari on December 4, highlighted their attacking struggles. The short turnaround between that Thursday fixture and this Monday’s match could also impact their energy levels, especially against a well-rested opponent.
On the road, Juve Stabia’s defensive issues have been evident. They have conceded at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 away matches, and while they often keep things tight early on, goals tend to arrive in the second half—Over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 19 of their last 20 away games. Their matches are generally low-scoring affairs, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 5 of their last 20 Serie B fixtures. This pattern suggests a cautious approach that may not be enough against a high-flying Frosinone side.
This fixture pits one of Serie B’s most dynamic attacks against one of its most disciplined defenses. Frosinone’s ability to dominate possession and create chances early has been a hallmark of their success. Their tendency to lead at half time, combined with their home advantage, makes them a formidable opponent at the Benito Stirpe. The team’s attacking rhythm, supported by a solid backline, has allowed them to control games and close them out efficiently.
Juve Stabia, on the other hand, will likely focus on compact defending and quick transitions. Their recent lack of goals is a concern, especially against a side that concedes less than one per match. The visitors’ challenge will be to stay organized and resist Frosinone’s early pressure, hoping to exploit any counterattacking opportunities that arise. However, fatigue from their midweek fixture could make this task even more difficult.
Historically, this matchup has been balanced, with one win each and three draws in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 in December 2024. Yet, given the current form and momentum, Frosinone appear better equipped to take all three points this time around.
The most likely outcome is a Frosinone win (1) with a 47% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 30%, while a Juve Stabia win (2) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Frosinone
Juve Stabia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
8
2