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Frosinone
6:45 PM
October 16, 2026
Sassuolo
Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 5:04 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 5:04 PM
Frosinone host Sassuolo at Stadio Benito Stirpe on Friday, October 16, as the seventh round of the 2026/27 Serie A season gets underway. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 local time. The sides are separated by two points, with Frosinone ninth and Sassuolo 11th. Both have reasons to look beyond their most recent result: Frosinone are trying to respond to a heavy defeat at Napoli, while Sassuolo earned a draw against AC Milan. Their September meeting finished 1-1 before Sassuolo won on penalties, adding another close contest to the build-up for this league fixture.
Promoted last season, Frosinone have taken ten points from their first six Serie A matches, winning three, drawing one and losing two. They made an encouraging start before a 3-0 defeat away to Napoli on October 10. Kevin De Bruyne scored twice in that match, with Noa Lang also on target. It was Frosinone's heaviest loss since 2024, but it does not erase a run that includes three wins in their last five games.
Across those five matches, Massimiliano Alvini's side have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their Serie A averages stand at 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. A wider scoring trend is particularly striking: Frosinone have found the net in 36 of their last 38 matches. They have also won their last two home league games, giving them a useful platform as they seek an immediate response to the Napoli result.
Frosinone have led at half-time in six of their last ten home matches, and in six of their last ten matches overall. That record points to their ability to make a strong start, although the defeat at Napoli showed how sharply a game can turn against them. Back at Stadio Benito Stirpe, the focus will be on restoring the form that brought them three victories in the opening six rounds.
Sassuolo arrive with two wins, two draws and two defeats in Serie A. Alberto Aquilani's team drew 1-1 with AC Milan on October 11, with Cas Odenthal scoring Sassuolo's goal. They have lost only once in their last six matches, though their most recent five have produced one win, three draws and one defeat. The challenge now is to turn competitive performances into more victories.
Goals have featured regularly in Sassuolo's games. They have averaged 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per Serie A match, while both figures are 1.6 across their last five outings. Defensively, they have gone nine consecutive league games without a clean sheet. That run will be tested by a Frosinone side with a sustained record of scoring, even if the hosts were held scoreless by Napoli last time out.
The second half has been especially active in Sassuolo's recent league fixtures. At least one goal has been scored after the interval in each of their last ten Serie A matches, and both teams have scored in the second half in each of their last four. Away form remains a concern: both of Sassuolo's defeats this season came on the road, and they have not won an away match since February. Their draw with Milan offers encouragement, but a trip to Frosinone presents a different opportunity to improve that record.
Alvini could select Lorenzo Palmisani in goal, with Gabriele Bracaglia, Giorgio Cittadini, Gabriele Calvani and Anthony Oyono in defence. Patrizio Masini, Giacomo Calò and Romano Schmid are options in midfield, while Giorgi Kvernadze and Farès Ghedjemis could support Antonio Raimondo in attack. Daniel Birligea and Florian Grillitsch are unavailable through injury.
For Sassuolo, Arijanet Muric could start in goal behind Josh Doig, Cas Odenthal, Duje Caleta-Car and Simone Cinquegrano. Kristian Thorstvedt, Nemanja Matic and Vasilije Adzic are the midfield candidates, with Armand Laurienté, Domenico Berardi and Sebastiano Esposito named as attacking options. Daniel Boloca and Ismael Koné are out, while Edoardo Pieragnolo and Fedde Leysen remain doubtful.
This fixture brings together a home side seeking to put a 3-0 loss behind them and visitors whose results have often remained close. Frosinone's two consecutive home wins contrast with Sassuolo's wait for an away victory, but the visitors have lost just one of their last six games. The recent head-to-head record is balanced too: across the five meetings in the supplied summary, Frosinone have two wins, Sassuolo have two and one match ended in a draw.
There is a clear case for watching both attacks. Frosinone have scored in 36 of their last 38 matches, while Sassuolo's league games have repeatedly featured goals at both ends. The teams each scored in their 1-1 cup meeting on September 2, and both also found the net in their previous two meetings at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Those results do not guarantee another exchange of goals, but they reinforce the attacking and defensive trends surrounding this Serie A match preview.
Frosinone's home results and Sassuolo's away difficulties give the hosts an advantage in the wider contest. At the same time, Sassuolo's 1-1 draw with Milan and their recent second-half scoring pattern suggest the visitors should not be dismissed. How Frosinone recover from the Napoli defeat, and whether Sassuolo can end their run without a league clean sheet, are likely to shape the game.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Frosinone
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3