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Prediction published on Aug 26, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in England - Carabao Cup | Modified on Aug 26, 2026 12:03 AM
Fulham welcome AFC Wimbledon to Craven Cottage for a Carabao Cup second-round fixture on Thursday, August 27, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. Both teams are searching for their first victory of the season within 90 minutes, while a place in the third round provides the immediate incentive. This will also be the first encounter between the clubs. Fulham begin their second consecutive home match after a narrow defeat in their opening game, whereas AFC Wimbledon arrive without a win across their last five fixtures.
Fulham opened their season with a 3-2 home defeat against Chelsea on August 24. Although the result went against them, scoring twice in that match offered evidence of their attacking threat. Their broader five-game record is balanced, featuring two victories, one draw and two defeats. Across that sequence, they averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
The hosts also bring a notable Carabao Cup scoring run into this second-round tie. Fulham have found the net at least once in each of their last 12 matches in the competition. That consistency is particularly relevant against opponents who have recently struggled to secure positive results and have already failed to score twice in their last three outings.
Recent home results offer further encouragement. Although Fulham lost 1-0 in their most recent home cup fixture, they subsequently collected three victories from five matches at Craven Cottage. Draws have also been rare in their home schedule, with the team avoiding a level result in 19 of their last 20 home games. This pattern points towards another fixture that is likely to produce a decisive outcome.
There has frequently been action after the interval in Fulham’s home matches. At least one second-half goal was recorded in 18 of their previous 20 games at home. In addition, only two of Fulham’s last 10 matches ended without a goal, underlining how unusual a scoreless contest has been in their recent schedule.
AFC Wimbledon enter the match following a 0-0 draw against Reading on August 22. That result extended their wait for a victory within regular time this season and left them with three draws and two defeats across their last five games. During that period, the visitors averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per fixture.
Their place in this round was secured against Newport, but only after penalties. The first-round match finished 1-1, meaning AFC Wimbledon’s Carabao Cup record for the season stands at one draw, with averages of one goal scored and one conceded. While progressing provided a positive outcome, the visitors are still looking for greater control and consistency over 90 minutes.
Goals have been difficult to produce in recent matches. AFC Wimbledon failed to score in two of their last three fixtures and have not managed more than one goal in any game so far this season. That limited output creates a demanding challenge against a Fulham side that has scored in 12 consecutive Carabao Cup matches and struck twice in its latest appearance.
The visitors’ longer sequence also illustrates the difficulty of the assignment. They have recorded only one victory in their last 15 matches, while their current five-game run contains no wins. AFC Wimbledon will therefore need to improve on both their recent scoring average and their overall results if they are to challenge for progression at Craven Cottage.
The available form data gives Fulham the stronger platform for this cup tie. They lost their opening fixture but scored twice against Chelsea, and their average of 1.6 goals over the last five matches is double AFC Wimbledon’s figure of 0.8. Their run of scoring in 12 straight Carabao Cup games further strengthens the case for the hosts to create opportunities.
AFC Wimbledon’s chance of competing may depend on keeping the game tight for as long as possible. Their 0-0 result against Reading shows that they can be involved in a low-scoring contest, but recent attacking numbers remain a concern. With no more than one goal scored in any match this season, falling behind would place considerable pressure on a team that has won only once in 15 games.
The statistical probabilities list Fulham at 45% to win, compared with 24% for the draw and 31% for an AFC Wimbledon victory. The supplied decimal odds show a more pronounced market preference: Fulham are priced at 1.18, the draw at 7.00 and AFC Wimbledon at 13.00. These figures reinforce the expectation that the home side will enter the match with the stronger prospects.
Goals remain another important part of the preview. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 55%, while both teams scoring is rated at 56%. However, those projections must be considered alongside AFC Wimbledon’s two recent scoreless outings and their average of fewer than one goal per game over the last five. Fulham’s own matches have been more productive, with their latest game containing five goals and their recent scoring and conceding averages both standing at 1.6.
The second-half trend could become especially significant if the first part of the contest remains close. Fulham’s record of at least one goal after half-time in 18 of their last 20 home matches suggests that the tie may open up as it develops. With draws occurring in only one of Fulham’s last 20 home fixtures, the evidence points towards a winner being found, and the hosts’ cup scoring sequence, home record and superior recent attacking average make them the more coherent choice.
Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon prediction from BetMines: Fulham win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fulham
AFC Wimbledon
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1