The Premier League season draws to a close at Craven Cottage, where Fulham host Newcastle United in a fixture that could still influence the final standings. The two sides are separated by just goal difference, with Fulham sitting 13th and Newcastle 11th, both on identical records of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats. Although European qualification remains a mathematical possibility, it would require an unlikely combination of results elsewhere. Still, both teams will want to end the campaign on a high note, and recent meetings suggest we could be in for another entertaining contest.

Fulham’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Fulham approach this final matchday after a 1-1 draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers, extending their winless streak to three league games. Their recent form shows one win, two draws, and two defeats in the last five matches, with an average of 0.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Despite this modest attacking output, the Cottagers have been strong at home, collecting 32 of their 49 points at Craven Cottage. Their home record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses ranks among the top half of the division.

Across the season, Fulham have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. They have rarely settled for draws at home — in fact, they have drawn in only one of their last 20 home fixtures. Matches at Craven Cottage tend to open up after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home games. However, their attack has occasionally faltered, with under 0.5 total goals in two of their last ten league outings.

Suspensions and injuries have slightly disrupted their rhythm, but the hosts remain competitive and motivated to finish the season positively. The home crowd will expect a strong attacking display, especially given Fulham’s solid record in front of their fans.

Newcastle United’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Newcastle United travel to London after an impressive 3-1 victory over West Ham United, a result that lifted them to 11th place. The Magpies have shown signs of recovery, going unbeaten in their last three league matches (two wins and one draw). Over their last five games, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, reflecting a more balanced and effective approach in recent weeks.

Throughout the campaign, Newcastle have maintained an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their defensive issues remain evident, having allowed at least one goal in 22 of their last 23 matches. On the other hand, their attack has been consistent, finding the net in 21 of their last 22 games. This attacking reliability has made them one of the most entertaining sides to watch, with both teams scoring in 20 of their last 22 fixtures.

However, their away form has been less convincing. The Magpies are winless in their last three away league matches and have only managed two victories in their eight away games in 2026. Despite these struggles, their offensive momentum and recent confidence could make them dangerous opponents for Fulham.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

Encounters between Fulham and Newcastle United have been lively affairs. Each of the last three meetings across all competitions ended 2-1, while both teams have scored in the last four head-to-head clashes. The historical balance slightly favors Newcastle, with three wins to Fulham’s two in their last five meetings, and both sides averaging 1.4 goals per game in those encounters.

Given these trends, another open and competitive match is expected. Fulham’s home strength and Newcastle’s attacking consistency suggest that both sides will create chances. The hosts will look to exploit their home advantage and end the season on a high, while the visitors aim to extend their unbeaten run and finish in the top half of the table. With both teams averaging over one goal per match and showing defensive vulnerabilities, goals at both ends seem likely once again.

Fulham vs Newcastle United Prediction

Statistically, this fixture points toward an evenly balanced contest. Fulham’s home resilience contrasts with Newcastle’s attacking form, and both sides have shown a tendency to concede. The probability model indicates win chances of 41% for Fulham, 24% for a draw, and 35% for Newcastle United. Additionally, the likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 62%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 61% probability.

Considering the recent head-to-head record, the attacking trends, and the defensive patterns of both teams, the most logical prediction aligns with the expectation of goals from both sides.

Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 62% probability.