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Prediction published on Mar 6, 2026 1:04 PM by Dario in England - FA Cup | Modified on Mar 6, 2026 1:04 PM
The FA Cup fifth-round tie at Craven Cottage promises to be an intriguing battle as Fulham host Southampton on Sunday. The Premier League side will look to bounce back from a midweek defeat, while the Championship visitors arrive in excellent form and full of confidence. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this encounter could deliver plenty of excitement for neutral fans and bettors alike.
Fulham enter this FA Cup clash after a narrow 0-1 loss to West Ham United on March 4, a result that ended their three-match winning streak in all competitions. Despite that setback, the Cottagers have enjoyed a solid run in the cup so far, defeating Middlesbrough 3-1 and Stoke City 2-1 in previous rounds. Their attacking output has been consistent, averaging 2.5 goals per game in this competition, though defensive issues persist with an average of one goal conceded per match.
At home, Fulham have shown mixed results, recording five wins, one draw, and four defeats in their last ten matches at Craven Cottage. However, they remain unbeaten in their last three home meetings against Southampton (W1 D2). One concerning trend is their inability to keep clean sheets — they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 matches across all competitions. Additionally, they have lost at half time in their last three FA Cup fixtures, suggesting a tendency to start slowly before improving after the break.
Statistically, Fulham’s matches tend to open up in the second half. Over 0.5 goals have been scored after the interval in 30 of their last 32 games, and in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. This pattern indicates that fans can expect late drama once again at Craven Cottage.
Southampton arrive in West London in excellent shape, having beaten Sheffield Wednesday 3-1 on February 28. The Saints are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions (W7 D2), a run that has propelled them up the Championship standings and into FA Cup contention. Their attacking form has been particularly impressive, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last five outings.
In the FA Cup, Southampton have already shown resilience, edging Doncaster Rovers 3-2 and Leicester City 2-1 after extra time. Their away form has also improved dramatically — they are unbeaten in their last five away games (W4 D1), a stark contrast to their earlier struggles on the road. The Saints have scored in 21 of their last 22 away matches, and over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 21 away fixtures, underlining their attacking consistency.
Key players have stepped up in recent weeks. Leo Scienza has been a creative force, contributing multiple goals and assists, while Kuryu Matsuki has added energy and end product in midfield. Southampton’s ability to find the net in virtually every match makes them a dangerous opponent for a Fulham side that has struggled defensively.
This FA Cup encounter brings together two teams with contrasting league positions but similar attacking philosophies. Fulham will rely on their home advantage and experience against higher-level opposition, while Southampton will look to extend their unbeaten streak and exploit the hosts’ defensive vulnerabilities. The Cottagers’ recent record against Championship sides in this competition is strong, but their lack of clean sheets could prove costly against a side that rarely fails to score.
Historically, this fixture has been competitive, with Fulham holding a slight edge in the last five meetings (W3 D1 L1). The most recent encounter ended 1-2, suggesting that goals are likely once again. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently — seven of Fulham’s last eight games have produced over 2.5 goals, while Southampton have netted two or more in four of their last five outings. With both sides boasting attacking threats and showing defensive fragility, another open contest seems inevitable.
In terms of momentum, Southampton’s unbeaten run and prolific scoring record give them confidence, but Fulham’s home support and cup pedigree could balance the scales. Expect a fast-paced match with plenty of chances at both ends, particularly in the second half when both teams tend to find their rhythm.
Fulham vs Southampton prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fulham
Southampton
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
6
4
1
9
2.5
8
2
2
8
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
9
1