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Prediction published on Nov 20, 2025 10:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Nov 20, 2025 10:02 PM
After the international break, the Premier League resumes with an intriguing clash at Craven Cottage as Fulham host high-flying Sunderland. The two sides are experiencing contrasting fortunes this season: while the Cottagers are struggling to find consistency, the newly promoted Black Cats have been one of the surprise packages of the campaign. This encounter promises to be a fascinating test of Fulham’s home strength against Sunderland’s growing confidence on the road.
Fulham enter this fixture sitting 15th in the Premier League table, with just a single point separating them from the relegation zone. Their recent form has been worrying, with only one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The most recent setback came in a 2-0 loss to Everton on November 8, a result that further exposed their defensive vulnerabilities. Over the course of the season, Fulham have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Despite their struggles, Fulham have shown resilience at home. Out of their 11 total points this season, 10 have been earned at Craven Cottage, where they have won five of their last seven matches in all competitions. The London side have also been involved in lively second halves — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 15 home league games. This trend highlights their tendency to grow into matches as they progress.
However, defensive lapses remain a concern. Fulham have managed just three clean sheets in their last ten outings, and their inability to maintain focus late in games has cost them valuable points. The absence of Sasa Lukic, suspended after accumulating five yellow cards, will be a blow to their midfield balance. The Serbian has contributed two goals in nine appearances and his energy will be missed. In attack, Harry Wilson and Alex Iwobi will be tasked with providing creativity behind Raul Jimenez, who continues to lead the line.
Sunderland have been the standout among the promoted sides, currently sitting 4th in the Premier League table. Their impressive campaign has been built on a combination of discipline, intensity, and tactical cohesion. The Black Cats are unbeaten in their last four matches, including a memorable 2-2 draw against Arsenal before the international break. That result extended their run to just one defeat in nine league games, underlining their growing maturity at this level.
In their last five matches, Sunderland have registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their defensive record has been particularly solid, with an average of 0.9 goals conceded per match this season. Away from home, however, they have found it slightly harder to replicate their home dominance, failing to win three of their last five league trips. Still, they have remained competitive, with under 3.5 total goals recorded in 14 consecutive away fixtures — a sign of their compact and organized approach.
Midfield leadership has been a key factor in Sunderland’s success. Granit Xhaka has emerged as the heartbeat of the team, dictating play and providing stability in the center of the park. His partnership with the energetic Noah Sadiki has given the Black Cats a strong spine, while their attacking transitions have been sharp and purposeful. Sunderland’s ability to stay composed under pressure and strike late has earned them valuable points against top opposition.
This fixture marks the first Premier League meeting between these two sides in over a decade — their last top-flight encounter came in 2014, when Sunderland triumphed 4-1 at Craven Cottage. Much has changed since then, but the stakes remain high. Fulham will rely on their home advantage to halt a worrying slide, while Sunderland aim to continue their remarkable start to life back in the Premier League.
Fulham’s main challenge will be containing Sunderland’s midfield dynamism and quick transitions. Without Lukic, the hosts may struggle to control possession, leaving gaps that the visitors could exploit. However, Fulham’s attacking trio of Wilson, Iwobi, and Jimenez are capable of creating chances, especially against a Sunderland defense that has kept only one clean sheet in its last five outings.
For Sunderland, maintaining their defensive discipline will be crucial. They have shown resilience in tight matches, with under 1.5 goals at half-time in 21 of their last 23 games, suggesting a cautious approach early on. Yet, their ability to find goals when it matters — as seen in their late equalizer against Arsenal — makes them a dangerous opponent. The Black Cats will look to exploit Fulham’s defensive frailties, particularly in the second half, where the hosts have often conceded.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced, with both teams winning twice and drawing once in their last five meetings. The average of 1.4 goals scored by Fulham and 1.6 conceded in those encounters suggests another closely contested battle could be on the cards.
The most likely outcome is a Fulham win (1) with a 45% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a Sunderland win (2) stands at 31%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fulham
Sunderland
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
6
4
5
5
2.5
8
2
6
4
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2