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Prediction published on Feb 25, 2026 3:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Feb 25, 2026 3:02 AM
The UEFA Europa League tie between Genk and Dinamo Zagreb reaches its decisive stage as the Belgian side hosts the Croatian champions after a thrilling first leg that ended 3-1 in favor of Genk. The visitors now face the daunting task of overturning a two-goal deficit away from home to keep their European journey alive. With both teams showing attacking intent throughout the season, this second leg promises to deliver another high-scoring and entertaining encounter.
Genk enter this clash after a disappointing 0-3 defeat against Standard Liège on February 22, a result that ended their five-match winning streak. Despite that setback, their overall form remains strong, with four wins in their last five matches and an average of 2.0 goals scored per game. In the Europa League, Genk have been consistent, recording 7 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, while averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceding just 1.0 per match.
At home, however, their performances have been somewhat inconsistent, with only four victories in their last ten fixtures. Still, their attacking rhythm has been reliable — Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 matches, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in all of those games. This attacking consistency could prove crucial as they look to defend their first-leg advantage and secure a place in the last 16.
Dinamo Zagreb travel to Belgium full of determination after a convincing 4-0 win over Varaždin on February 22. That result was a timely boost following their first-leg defeat, and it extended their solid away record — five wins in their last eight matches on the road. In their last five games overall, Dinamo have collected three wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per match.
However, their Europa League campaign has been far less impressive. The Croatian side have managed just three wins in nine matches (W 3 · D 1 · L 5), conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game. They have also lost five of their last seven Europa League fixtures, including two consecutive away defeats in the competition. Despite these struggles, Dinamo’s matches tend to be open and entertaining — Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 32 of their last 34 games, and goals in both halves are a common feature.
Historically, the meetings between Genk and Dinamo Zagreb have been evenly balanced. In three previous encounters, each side has claimed one victory, with one draw completing the record. Interestingly, both teams have won their respective away fixtures, suggesting that home advantage has not been decisive in this matchup. The first leg ended 3-1 in favor of Genk, giving them a strong position, but Dinamo’s attacking potential means the tie is far from over.
Given the attacking trends of both teams, another open contest is expected. Genk’s ability to score consistently, combined with Dinamo’s need to chase goals, could lead to a high-tempo game with plenty of chances at both ends. The Croatian side will need to strike early to unsettle the hosts, while Genk will aim to exploit spaces on the counterattack.
Both teams come into this match with clear strengths and weaknesses. Genk have been more stable in Europe this season, boasting a strong record and a balanced attack-defense ratio. Dinamo Zagreb, on the other hand, have struggled defensively in the Europa League but remain dangerous going forward, especially when forced to attack.
Considering the statistical trends — with both sides regularly involved in matches featuring multiple goals — the most likely scenario is another game with goals at both ends. Genk’s home advantage and superior European form make them slight favorites to progress, but Dinamo’s offensive threat ensures that the tie remains unpredictable until the final whistle.
Genk vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
10
0
5
5
4.5
10
0
6
4