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Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 7:14 PM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 7:14 PM
Genk host KV Kortrijk at Cegeka Arena on Saturday, October 10, 2026, in the eighth round of Belgium’s Pro League. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 local time. Genk sit ninth, six points ahead of 18th-placed Kortrijk, but the home side have had little to celebrate lately: they are without a win in their last three matches on Belgian soil. Kortrijk have won just once in the league this season and arrive with an even greater need for points. That contrast makes Genk the stronger prospect on paper, though their recent results leave room for a competitive contest.
Genk have recorded two wins, three draws and two defeats in their seven Pro League matches. They have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per league game, figures that show both their attacking potential and the opportunities they have allowed opponents. Across their last five matches, Genk have won once, drawn twice and lost twice, scoring and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.
Their most recent listed result was a 2-1 defeat to Fortuna Sittard on October 3. Returning home gives Genk a chance to respond, but their recent winless spell means they cannot rely on their league position alone. The goal trends are mixed, too: four of Genk’s last 11 Pro League matches finished without a goal from either side, as did two of their last 10 home league fixtures. Those are match totals, rather than a record of Genk failing to score.
There is nevertheless a clear opportunity for the hosts. Kortrijk have conceded an average of 2.1 goals per league match, while Genk’s season scoring average is close to two. Turning that contrast into a victory will require a sharper result than Genk have managed in their recent domestic outings.
KV Kortrijk have one win and six defeats from seven Pro League games. Their league averages of 0.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match underline the challenge they face at Cegeka Arena. Their sole league victory came against Beveren before the international break, but that result has not been enough to lift them out of 18th place.
Kortrijk’s last five matches across the supplied results brought one win, one draw and three defeats. They averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded during that stretch, and their latest listed match was a 2-2 draw with KSK Heist on September 26. Compared with their full league-season figures, that five-match scoring average is higher, although goals have remained difficult to come by.
Starts on the road are another concern for the visitors: Kortrijk have been behind at half-time in their last three away Pro League matches. There has also been at least one second-half goal, by either team, in 20 of their last 22 matches. Neither trend determines what will happen here, but together they suggest Kortrijk may need to stay in contention early and remain alert after the interval.
The gap between the teams is clearest in their league records. Genk have collected two wins and three draws, whereas Kortrijk have lost six of seven. The supplied win probabilities also favor the hosts: 58% for Genk, 22% for a draw and 20% for Kortrijk. Genk’s recent form prevents this from looking straightforward, but Kortrijk’s low scoring average gives the home side a strong reason to target all three points.
The head-to-head figures offer another perspective. From Genk’s point of view, the five-match summary stands at three wins and two defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent meeting, on December 7, 2024, finished 3-2. That score shows the fixture has recently produced goals, while the broader record offers Genk an edge without suggesting they have dominated every encounter.
For this Pro League preview, the key question is whether Genk can make their higher season scoring rate count against a side that has conceded regularly. Kortrijk’s recent draw shows they can find goals, yet their six league defeats and repeated half-time deficits away from home make this a demanding trip. Genk have their own form to repair, but the league records, scoring averages and supplied win probabilities point most clearly toward a home victory.
Genk vs KV Kortrijk prediction from BetMines: Genk win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Genk
KV Kortrijk
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0