The final round of the 2025–26 Europa League league phase brings an intriguing clash between Genk and Malmö FF at the Cegeka Arena. The Belgian side sit 10th in the standings with 13 points, while the Swedish visitors are second from bottom with just one point. With a potential top-eight finish still within reach, Genk will be eager to secure a victory that could propel them directly into the round of 16. Malmö, on the other hand, are already eliminated but will aim to end their campaign on a positive note.

Genk’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Genk approach this decisive fixture after a 1–1 draw against Cercle Brugge in the Belgian top flight on January 25, 2026. That result extended their run of six consecutive matches in all competitions in which they have found the net. In the Europa League, their record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their recent 2–0 away win over Utrecht confirmed their place in the knockout rounds, but they still need a strong finish to secure a direct ticket to the round of 16.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Genk have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Despite some defensive inconsistencies, their attacking output remains reliable, particularly at home. Historically, they have also enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture, with one win and one draw in previous meetings against Malmö FF, averaging two goals scored per encounter.

Malmö FF’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Malmö FF have endured a difficult Europa League campaign, collecting just one point from nine matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 1–0 defeat to Crvena Zvezda on January 22, 2026, extending a poor run of form that includes four losses in their last five games. During that stretch, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored while conceding 1.6 per match. In the Europa League overall, their record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 defeats, with 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

The Swedish side’s defensive struggles have been particularly evident: they have conceded in every Europa League match this season and have lost at half time in each of their last three games in the competition. Away from home, Malmö have also been vulnerable, losing at half time in their last three Europa League away fixtures. However, one consistent trend is that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 15 away matches, suggesting that late action is likely once again.

Genk vs Malmö FF Analysis and Prediction

This encounter presents contrasting motivations. Genk are still fighting for a top-eight finish and will be determined to make the most of their home advantage, while Malmö FF are playing purely for pride. The Belgian side’s attacking consistency, combined with Malmö’s defensive fragility, points toward a match where the hosts are expected to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.

Historically, this fixture has produced goals, with the last head-to-head ending 2–2 back in 2018. Given the current form of both teams, another open contest could be on the cards. Genk’s ability to find the net regularly, coupled with Malmö’s tendency to concede, makes a home win the most plausible outcome. However, Malmö’s pattern of conceding late goals could also make the second half particularly decisive.

• Genk average 1.7 goals scored per Europa League match this season.


• Malmö FF have conceded in all seven of their Europa League league-phase games.


• Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of Malmö’s last 15 away matches.


• Genk’s last five matches have produced an average of 3.8 total goals per game.

With both teams showing clear trends in attack and defense, the match could feature multiple scoring chances, especially after the break. Genk’s superior form and motivation should give them the edge, but Malmö’s late-game patterns suggest that the visitors might still find opportunities to test the Belgian defense.

Genk vs Malmö FF prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 51% probability.