Genoa host AC Milan at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on November 8 in the 11th round of Serie A. The visitors arrive fifth with 21 points, eight ahead of 11th-placed Genoa, but the teams’ recent results tell a different story. Genoa have won three league matches in a row, while Milan follow a derby victory with a 2-0 European defeat to Ferencvárosi. Milan’s unbeaten away record in Serie A gives them reason for confidence, although they face a home side enjoying its strongest league winning run in eight years.

Genoa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Genoa have taken four wins from their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 0.8 per game in that stretch. Their most recent result was a 2-1 victory away to Lecce on November 1. Junior Messias contributed a goal and an assist in that match, helping Genoa secure their first away league win of the season and extend their Serie A winning streak to three games.

That run has lifted Daniele De Rossi’s side to 13 points after ten league fixtures. Their season record stands at four wins, one draw and five defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per match. The contrast between those full-season figures and their last five results shows why recent form matters heading into this Genoa vs AC Milan preview. Genoa now have the chance to make it four consecutive Serie A victories, a mark the club has not reached for 17 years.

Home results add to their case: Genoa have won four of their last six matches at the Ferraris and have conceded an average of one goal per game across their last ten there. They have also led at half-time in each of their last three home league matches, as well as in their last three Serie A games overall. Up front, Milutin Osmajic leads the team’s league scoring with four goals, while Stephan El Shaarawy has supplied an assist in each of the last two matches. For all Genoa’s improved results, their games have rarely become high-scoring affairs: 23 of their last 24 Serie A matches have finished under 3.5 total goals.

AC Milan’s Recent Form and Key Stats

AC Milan have won six of their ten Serie A matches, drawing three and losing one. Their league scoring average is 2.1 goals per game, and their total of 21 goals through ten rounds is the club’s best start under a new coach since Cesare Maldini in 1972. Ruben Amorim’s side recently beat Inter in the derby, with Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic and Diego Moreira on the scoresheet. The lift from that result was checked by Thursday’s 2-0 loss to Ferencvárosi.

The broader recent record underlines Milan’s uneven week: across their last five matches, they have two wins and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Serie A results have been steadier. Their only league loss this season was a 4-2 home defeat to Bologna, and they have scored in 13 consecutive Serie A matches. Matches involving Milan have contained over 1.5 total goals in each of their last 18 games across competitions, including their last 14 league fixtures.

Travel has not disrupted Milan’s league form so far. They are unbeaten in all five of this season’s Serie A away games, recording two wins and three draws, and their wider unbeaten away league run extends to six matches. The recent record at the Ferraris also favours the visitors: Milan have won their last four Serie A trips to Genoa, most recently by 2-1. They will nevertheless need to recover from the European defeat against opponents who have collected more points than them over the last five league rounds.

Genoa vs AC Milan Match Analysis

The head-to-head record presents Genoa with a challenge despite their current momentum. They have not beaten Milan in their last ten Serie A meetings, with their previous league victory in this fixture dating back to March 2020. The supplied summary of the last five meetings records no Genoa wins, three draws and two defeats; the latest meeting ended 2-1 to Milan on May 17, 2026. Recent home form, however, gives Genoa a stronger platform than that history alone suggests.

The goals trends offer another way to assess this Serie A match. Genoa’s long run of under 3.5-goal games points away from an unusually high total, but it does not rule out more than one goal. Milan have scored in 13 straight league matches, and every one of their last 14 Serie A fixtures has featured at least two goals in total. Genoa’s 2-1 win at Lecce and the 2-1 score in the most recent head-to-head both fit that pattern. With Genoa chasing a fourth straight win and Milan protecting an unbeaten away league record, neither side comes in short of reasons to push for a result.

Genoa vs AC Milan prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 77% probability.