The upcoming Serie A clash between Genoa and Bologna at the Ferraris promises to be a tightly contested encounter between two sides with contrasting ambitions. The hosts are fighting to climb away from the lower part of the table, while the visitors aim to stay in the race for European qualification. Genoa arrive unbeaten in four consecutive league matches, including a goalless draw against Parma, while Bologna are looking to bounce back after a 2-1 defeat to Fiorentina and a 2-2 draw against Celtic in Europe. With both teams showing mixed form, this fixture could be decided by small details and moments of composure in front of goal.

Genoa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Genoa have shown signs of improvement under their new coach, collecting valuable points that have lifted morale and stability within the squad. They currently sit 16th in Serie A with 20 points, having recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats so far. The team’s average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match reflects a balanced but cautious approach. In their last five outings, Genoa have managed 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.0.

At home, Genoa have been difficult to beat, relying on defensive organization and set-piece efficiency. In fact, they are the team with the most goals scored from free-kick situations across Europe’s top five leagues this season, with seven in total. Their ability to capitalize on dead-ball opportunities could once again be decisive, especially against a Bologna side that has yet to concede from such situations this campaign. The hosts are unbeaten in their four Serie A matches played in 2026 (1 win, 3 draws), and avoiding defeat here would mark their best start to a calendar year in over half a century.

• Ranking: 16th in Serie A


• Recent result: 0-0 vs Parma (away)


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat


• Average goals: 1.1 scored, 1.4 conceded


• Head-to-head record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat vs Bologna

With several players unavailable, Genoa will again rely on their collective effort and home support to maintain their positive run. Their resilience when playing from behind has been tested, as they have lost 17 points after taking the lead this season — the second-highest figure in the league. Maintaining focus for the full 90 minutes will therefore be crucial.

Bologna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bologna enter this match sitting 8th in the Serie A standings with 30 points, the result of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats. Their season average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game highlights a team capable of attacking fluently but occasionally vulnerable at the back. In their last five matches across all competitions, Bologna have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 1.4 goals per match while conceding 1.8.

The visitors have struggled to maintain consistency away from home, collecting just one point from their last two trips to the Ferraris after previously winning five of six visits to Genoa and Sampdoria combined. Moreover, Bologna have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 15 matches, and over 1.5 total goals have been scored in their last 12 away fixtures. Despite these defensive lapses, they remain one of the most resilient sides when trailing, having recovered 11 points from losing positions this season — second only to Milan.

• Ranking: 8th in Serie A


• Recent result: 2-2 vs Celtic (Europe)


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals: 1.4 scored, 1.1 conceded


• Conceded in: last 15 consecutive matches

Bologna’s attacking structure remains their main strength, but their inability to hold onto leads has cost them valuable points. They have not led at half-time in 19 of their last 20 matches, often relying on second-half surges to change the outcome. Their recent dip in form — five defeats in their last nine Serie A games — suggests that rediscovering early-season momentum will be key if they are to remain in contention for European places.

Genoa vs Bologna Analysis and Prediction

Historically, this fixture has been balanced, with Genoa winning twice, drawing twice, and losing once in the last five head-to-head meetings. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended 2-1 in favor of Bologna, and the visitors will aim to complete a league double over Genoa for the first time since 2017/18. However, the hosts’ current unbeaten streak and improved defensive record make them a tough opponent to break down.

Statistically, the match leans toward a low-scoring affair. The probability of Under 2.5 goals stands at 63%, supported by Genoa’s compact style and Bologna’s recent inefficiency in front of goal. Both teams to score has a 43% likelihood, suggesting that one side could keep a clean sheet. Given Bologna’s stronger overall record and Genoa’s tendency to drop points after taking the lead, the most probable outcome appears to be a tight contest decided in the second half.

According to the latest probabilities, the chances of each result are as follows: Genoa win 27%, Draw 30%, and Bologna win 43%. With Bologna’s attacking potential and Genoa’s resilience, a cautious approach from both sides is expected, especially in the early stages.

Genoa vs Bologna prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 63% probability.