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Prediction published on Sep 2, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 2, 2026 5:03 PM
Genoa welcome Como to the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in Genova for a Serie A fixture on Friday, September 4, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time. The teams have made contrasting starts to the league campaign. Genoa have lost both of their opening matches without scoring, while Como remain unbeaten after collecting four points from two games. The visitors followed a goalless draw against Udinese with an impressive 2-1 away victory over Napoli, whereas the hosts suffered defeats against Napoli and Lazio. With Genoa searching for their first points and Como aiming to maintain their positive momentum, this match offers an important early test for both sides.
Genoa enter the third round in 17th place after beginning their Serie A season with two consecutive defeats. They first lost 2-0 at home to Napoli before falling 1-0 against Lazio on August 30, when Davide Frattesi scored the only goal. Those results leave Daniele De Rossi's team with a league record of no wins, no draws and two losses, alongside averages of 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
The lack of attacking output is a central concern ahead of this Genoa vs Como preview. The hosts have not scored in either league fixture, and another blank would mean failing to find the net in three consecutive league games for the first time since the 1983/84 season. Genoa are also on a run of seven Serie A matches without a victory and have not lost their opening three top-flight games since 1957/58.
The broader form figures underline their difficult period. Across their last five matches, Genoa have registered one win and four defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goals while conceding 3.0 per game. Home advantage has offered limited protection recently, as they have lost four of their last five league fixtures at the Luigi Ferraris. One of those defeats came against Como.
Genoa have their full squad available according to the supplied team information, although Norton-Cuffy's departure requires a change on the right side, with Mitaj identified as his replacement. Marcandalli, Ostigard and Vasquez are candidates to retain their places in the defensive line. Sow and Frendrup are expected to operate in midfield, while Colombo is the central forward supported by Baldanzi and Vitinha.
Como arrive in Genova in eighth place and unbeaten after their first two Serie A fixtures. A 0-0 draw with Udinese was followed by a 2-1 victory away to Napoli on August 30. Martin Baturina and Tasos Douvikas scored in that win, giving Cesc Fabregas's side its first league success of the campaign.
The visitors have taken one win and one draw so far, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Over their last five matches in all listed form data, they have recorded one victory, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 0.8 goals for and 1.0 against. Those numbers suggest a team that has generally kept matches competitive, while the result at Napoli demonstrated its ability to earn points away from home.
Como's game management in that victory was particularly notable. After producing a bright performance, they protected their advantage rather than continuing to attack without restraint. The visitors defended the result with maturity and secured all three points. They now have an opportunity to remain undefeated through the opening three games of a Serie A season for only the fifth time in their history. The last Como side to achieve that start did so in 1986/87, which was also the most recent season in which the club avoided defeat in each of its first three away fixtures.
The away team's first-half record is another significant feature. Como have been ahead at half-time in eight of their last 12 away matches and in seven of their last 11 Serie A games on the road. Their selection is expected to change only slightly following the Napoli victory. Perrone is set to return to the midfield, while Douvikas is expected to continue as the central striker with support from Baturina, Nico Paz and Diao. New arrival Kean is expected to begin on the bench, and Jayden Addai is the only reported absentee.
The statistical comparison gives Como the stronger platform before kick-off. The visitors have four points, three goals and an unbeaten league record, while Genoa are still waiting for both their first point and first goal. The listed 1X2 probabilities give Como a 45% chance of victory, compared with 29% for Genoa and 26% for the draw.
Recent head-to-head figures also favor the away side. From the five meetings covered by the summary, Genoa have no wins, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The latest encounter, played on April 26, 2026, ended in a 2-0 Como victory. Combined with Genoa's four defeats from their last five home league matches, that result adds weight to the visitors' prospects.
There are still reasons to expect resistance from the hosts. Genoa need a response after consecutive losses, and their long sequence of Serie A matches under 3.5 goals indicates that their league contests have regularly remained within a controlled scoring range. However, they must improve in front of goal to place sustained pressure on a Como team that has conceded only twice this season.
Como's positive opening, first-half away record and recent success in this fixture make them the more convincing side in the final assessment. Genoa may make the contest difficult, but their seven-game winless league run, scoreless start and poor recent home results create substantial concerns. If Como reproduce the discipline shown against Napoli while again making effective use of Douvikas and Baturina, the visitors have a credible opportunity to extend their unbeaten start.
Genoa vs Como prediction from BetMines: Como win (2) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Genoa
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
8
2