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Prediction published on Oct 27, 2025 3:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 27, 2025 4:48 PM
The schedule for Serie A Matchday 9 features, on Wednesday, October 29, a crucial relegation battle at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium between Genoa — still searching for their first league win of the season — and Cremonese, who currently enjoy a comfortable seven-point margin above the relegation zone. The home side, who secured survival with several games to spare last season, are currently bottom of the table with just three points. Moreover, Patrick Vieira’s men, whose manager’s future looks increasingly uncertain, are coming off a painful defeat against Torino, where they lost after leading until the closing minutes. After eight rounds, it’s now time for Genoa to finally secure their first victory to move off the bottom, hoping for slip-ups from Fiorentina, Pisa, and Verona, and begin to climb the standings. Cremonese, meanwhile, find themselves in a much more comfortable mid-table position — closer to the European spots than to relegation — a strong showing for a newly promoted team. Experienced coach Nicola knows, however, that the season is still long and concentration levels must remain high: any distraction could prove costly, especially in a relegation race. Although it’s only the ninth matchday, this is already a key fixture for both sides — but the pressure is squarely on Genoa, who cannot afford anything less than a win.
After losing 2-1 at home to Torino, Genoa have now suffered their third defeat in their last four games across all competitions. Over their last five official matches, the Rossoblù have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game. It’s worth noting, however, that their only win came in the Coppa Italia — a 3-1 victory over Empoli.
Patrick Vieira’s side arrive at Matchday 9 of Serie A in last place with only 3 points, coming from 3 draws and 5 losses, scoring 4 goals and conceding 11. The attack has been their biggest problem so far — the second-worst in the league — but the defense also appears less compact than last season.
The only positive results for Genoa this season have come in the Coppa Italia, where they’ve won both matches so far against Vicenza and Empoli. At the Luigi Ferraris Stadium in Serie A, their record stands at 2 draws and 2 defeats, without scoring a single goal and conceding 4 in total.
Cremonese come into this game after a solid 1-1 home draw against Atalanta last Saturday, having taken the lead through Jamie Vardy’s first goal of the season before being pegged back. Nicola’s men have not won any of their last five matches, recording 4 draws and 1 loss, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
The Grigiorossi currently sit 11th in the Serie A standings with 11 points, thanks to 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring 9 goals and conceding 10. They are a team that gives little away defensively — though they’ve conceded in each of their last four matches — but they also struggle in attack, with just 4 goals scored over their last 6 league games.
Away from home, Cremonese have performed well early in the season, beating AC Milan 2-1 and drawing 1-1 with Como. However, in their most recent away fixture, played on October 4, they suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to Inter at San Siro.
As this is a must-win match for bottom-placed Genoa after eight Serie A rounds, BetMines predicts that Patrick Vieira’s men will give everything to secure their first league victory and reignite their fight for survival.
According to the algorithm, Genoa are slight favorites with a 44% chance of winning, while both a draw and a Cremonese victory stand at 28% each.
Given that both teams have struggled to score this season, BetMines expects a low-scoring affair, suggesting the Under 2.5 goals market as a solid betting pick. Genoa have yet to score at home, while Cremonese are averaging just one goal per away game.
Tactically, this is likely to be a tight and hard-fought contest that could be decided by a single moment — possibly an individual play from one of Genoa’s more technical players, such as Malinovskyi, Carboni, or Gronbaek.
GENOA (4-2-3-1): Leali; Sabelli, Ostigard, Vasquez, Ellertsson; Frendrup, Masini; Thorsby, Malinovskyi, Norton-Cuffy; Ekhator. Coach: Vieira
CREMONESE (3-5-2): Silvestri; Ceccherini, Baschirotto, Bianchetti; Floriani M, Sarmiento, Payero, Vandeputte, Zerbin; Vardy, Bonazzoli. Coach: Nicola
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Genoa
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1