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Genoa
1:00 PM
September 12, 2026
Frosinone
Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 11:06 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 11:06 AM
Genoa host Frosinone in Serie A on Saturday, September 12, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in Genova. The teams approach the fourth round in contrasting situations. Genoa are 19th after losing all three league matches, while seventh-placed Frosinone have collected two victories from their opening three fixtures. The hosts are still searching for their first point of the season following defeats against Napoli, Lazio and Como. Frosinone, meanwhile, responded to an opening loss against Juventus by beating Fiorentina and Venezia. Genoa therefore face pressure to halt their losing sequence, but their visitors arrive with encouraging attacking numbers and a long unbeaten run away from home.
Genoa have endured a difficult beginning to the Serie A campaign, recording three defeats from three matches. They lost 2-0 at home to Napoli before suffering a narrow 1-0 away defeat against Lazio. Their latest appearance produced a 4-1 home loss to Como on September 4, although that fixture did at least bring their first league goal of the season.
The season averages underline the problems experienced at both ends of the pitch. Genoa are scoring only 0.3 goals per Serie A match while conceding an average of 2.3. Across their latest five matches, they have one win and four defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded. Their current league sequence is even more concerning: the team have lost five consecutive Serie A games and have scored only twice during that run. This is also the first time since 1957/58 that Genoa have opened a top-flight season with three straight losses.
Home advantage has not provided protection in recent league fixtures. Genoa have been beaten in each of their last four Serie A home matches, including both of their home assignments this season. However, their matches at this venue have regularly produced more than one goal. There have been over 1.5 total goals in Genoa's last 13 home games, with that pattern also occurring in their last 12 Serie A home fixtures. At least one second-half goal has been registered in each of their previous 12 home matches and in the last 11 played at home in the league.
Ehizibue could be used on the right, with Ellertsson operating on the opposite side. Osmajic, who scored against Como, is a possible starter alongside Colombo, while Baldanzi could play behind them. Marcandalli, Ostigard and Vasquez are expected to continue in front of Bijlow. Venturino is the only confirmed absentee mentioned for the home team.
Frosinone have made a positive start following promotion. An opening 1-0 home defeat against Juventus was followed by consecutive victories, first a 3-0 away success against Fiorentina and then a 3-2 home win over Venezia on September 6. It is the first time in the club's history that Frosinone have won two of their opening three matches in a Serie A season.
The visitors have produced six goals in three league games, giving them an average of 2.0 scored per match, while they have conceded an average of 1.0. Their broader five-match record stands at three wins, one draw and one defeat, with 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per fixture. Those numbers create a clear contrast with Genoa's early-season results and help explain why the away side enter this match with confidence.
Frosinone's away record is another important feature of this Serie A preview. They are unbeaten in their last 17 away matches and have scored at least once in every game across that sequence. They have also found the net in 34 of their previous 35 matches and avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 fixtures. In Serie A specifically, the Canarini are unbeaten in six away games, recording two victories and four draws, while keeping clean sheets in the latest four.
Frosinone are expected to have a complete squad available unless there are late absences. Raimondo is the central attacking option, supported by Kvernadze, Schmid and Fini. Masini and Calò are the midfield pair identified in the available team information, while Oyono, Monterisi, Calvani and Bracaglia are expected to remain in front of Palmisani. The visitors could therefore retain the personnel used in the victory over Venezia.
The statistical comparison favors Frosinone, whose estimated win probability is 42%, compared with 32% for Genoa and 26% for the draw. The visitors have the better league record, the stronger recent form and a lengthy unbeaten sequence on the road. Genoa, however, will play their third home fixture in the opening four rounds and will be determined to produce a response after failing to collect points against Napoli and Como at the same venue.
Goals are an important part of the outlook. Frosinone have scored in 17 consecutive away matches and are averaging two goals per league fixture this season. Genoa have conceded seven times across three Serie A games, including four against Como. Although the hosts have struggled offensively, their first goal of the campaign may provide some encouragement ahead of a match against a newly promoted opponent.
The recent data assigns a 57% probability to both teams scoring and a 54% probability to over 2.5 goals. Genoa's sequence of 13 home matches with at least two total goals also supports the prospect of an eventful contest. At the same time, Frosinone's run of four consecutive Serie A away clean sheets shows why Genoa's attacking contribution cannot be considered automatic.
Another relevant trend concerns corners. Fewer than 10.5 corners have been recorded in Genoa's last 15 matches and in 20 of their previous 21 home games. The most recent head-to-head meeting finished 1-1 on March 30, 2024. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Genoa have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. Even so, current form provides the stronger contrast: Genoa are attempting to end a five-match league losing streak, while Frosinone are pursuing a third consecutive Serie A victory for the first time.
Genoa vs Frosinone prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Genoa
Frosinone
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3