The upcoming Serie A clash between Genoa and Inter promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 15th round of the 2024/2025 season. Scheduled for Sunday, December 14, 2025, this encounter at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium will see two sides with contrasting ambitions face off. Genoa are looking to extend their unbeaten run under new management, while Inter aim to bounce back from their midweek Champions League defeat and keep pace with the league leaders.

Genoa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Genoa approach this match in good spirits after a valuable 2-1 away win against Udinese. That result extended their unbeaten streak in Serie A to five matches, with three victories and two draws. Under their current coach, the team has shown a clear improvement in both results and attacking output, scoring 11 goals in the last five league games. This resurgence has lifted them to 16th place in the table, four points clear of the relegation zone.

Across the season, Genoa’s record stands at three wins, four draws, and seven defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their recent attacking form contrasts with earlier struggles, and the team has found the net consistently in recent weeks. In fact, over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 21 of their last 23 matches, highlighting their tendency to come alive after the break. At home, however, they have seen tighter contests, with under 0.5 goals in two of their last ten Serie A fixtures at the Ferraris.

Up front, Genoa rely on Lorenzo Colombo, who will be particularly motivated against Inter given his ties to Milan. Defensively, they hope to recover Leo Ostigard, who has already scored three goals this season but remains doubtful due to a calf issue. Only backup goalkeeper Benjamin Siegrist is confirmed unavailable.

Inter’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Inter come into this game after a narrow 0-1 loss to Liverpool in the Champions League, their second consecutive defeat in Europe. Domestically, however, they remain one of Serie A’s most consistent sides. With ten wins and four losses from fourteen league matches, Inter sit third in the standings, just one point behind the top. Their attacking numbers are impressive — an average of 2.3 goals scored per game and the best offensive record in the league with 32 goals so far.

In their last five matches, Inter have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 2.4 goals while conceding only 0.8. They have not drawn any of their last 24 matches in all competitions, including 15 straight in Serie A. Away from home, they have been particularly effective, winning four of their last five league trips and maintaining a perfect record against teams placed 13th or lower.

Despite some injury concerns — with Denzel Dumfries, Matteo Darmian, and Hakan Calhanoglu all doubtful — Inter’s squad depth remains strong. The defense will be reshuffled following Francesco Acerbi’s long-term injury, with either Yann Bisseck or Stefan de Vrij expected to step in. Inter’s attacking power remains their main weapon, having scored 12 of their 32 goals in the first halves of matches this season.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

Historically, Inter have dominated this fixture. Genoa’s last victory over the Nerazzurri dates back to February 2018, and in the twelve meetings since, Inter have won nine and drawn three. The last head-to-head ended 1-0 in February 2025, and the last three encounters at the Ferraris have all finished level. Genoa’s recent improvement under new management adds intrigue, but Inter’s superior quality and attacking efficiency make them favorites once again.

Statistically, Genoa have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in their last five meetings with Inter. The hosts’ recent scoring form suggests they could find the net, while Inter’s offensive consistency points toward an open contest. Given both teams’ tendencies to score in the second half, fans can expect a lively and competitive match in Genoa.

BetMines Prediction and Final Analysis

Considering the data and recent performances, the most likely scenario is that both teams will score. Genoa’s attacking revival and Inter’s relentless offensive rhythm suggest a balanced yet entertaining encounter. The BetMines model indicates that the Both Teams To Score – Yes outcome has a 42% probability, reflecting the potential for goals on both sides.

While Inter remain favorites to secure the win with a 55% chance, Genoa’s resilience and home momentum could make this a closer contest than expected. Expect a dynamic match where both sides find the net, continuing Genoa’s positive streak and Inter’s pursuit of the Serie A summit.