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Genoa
7:45 PM
October 28, 2026
Juventus
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 6:05 PM
Genoa host Juventus in the ninth round of the 2026/27 Serie A season on Wednesday, October 28. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 local time at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. Both sides arrive after wins on October 25: Genoa beat Venezia 1-0, while Juventus won 2-0 at Lecce. The visitors sit seventh and have the stronger season record, but Genoa, in 16th place, have taken all their points so far at home. That contrast gives this Genoa vs Juventus preview its central question: can the hosts extend their improvement at the Ferraris, or will Juventus turn another away trip into a victory?
Genoa lost their first three matches of the season, but Daniele De Rossi remained in charge and the side have since collected seven points from five games. Their latest result was a 1-0 home win over Venezia, decided by a goal from Mikael Ellertsson. Genoa have won two of their last three league matches, although their wider five-game record remains mixed: two wins and three defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
After eight Serie A fixtures, Genoa's record stands at two wins, one draw and five losses. They average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per league match. Home form offers a more encouraging picture. Genoa have taken all of their points this season at the Ferraris and have avoided defeat in their last three home games. They will look to that run as they try to make Juventus uncomfortable.
Goals have usually been limited in Genoa's league fixtures: 21 of their last 22 Serie A matches have finished with under 3.5 total goals. There has often been second-half action at home, though, with at least one goal after the interval in 19 of their last 21 home matches. Those figures suggest Genoa's recent resilience need not produce an open game from the start.
De Rossi will be without Djibril Sow, Elias Havel and Lorenzo Venturino. Samuel Wiafe suffered an adductor strain over the weekend and is unlikely to be available. Lorenzo Colombo made a brief second-half appearance against Venezia after time out, while leading scorer Milutin Osmajic is expected to lead Genoa's attack.
Juventus responded to a 3-0 home defeat against Lazio and a 2-2 Europa League draw with Rennes by winning 2-0 away to Lecce. Weston McKennie and Douglas Luiz scored in the first half, easing some of the pressure on Luciano Spalletti after an uneven sequence of results. Across their last five matches, Juventus have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals both scored and conceded.
Their Serie A record is four wins, two draws and two losses, with league averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Juventus have collected seven points at home and seven away, and have lost only once on their travels this season. The Lecce result gives them a recent away performance to build on, even if consistency has remained elusive.
Juventus have moved to a more cautious 3-5-2, with Nick Woltemade and Randal Kolo Muani used together in attack. Selection options are restricted by injuries: Zeki Celik and Nico Gonzalez were hurt against Rennes and join Francisco Conceicao, Kenan Yildiz, Khephren Thuram, Jeff Ekhator, Kamil Grabara and captain Manuel Locatelli on the injury list.
Juventus' recent goal figures present two different patterns. Their last ten matches have all featured over 1.5 total goals, yet at least one team has failed to score before half-time in each of their last 21 Serie A games. In 19 of those 21 league fixtures, there have been fewer than two first-half goals. A quick start at Lecce therefore does not make another early breakthrough a certainty.
This fixture brings together Genoa's improved home results and a Juventus side that has generally been dependable away from home. Genoa's win over Venezia was another step away from their difficult start, but they have scored only 0.8 goals per match across both their last five games and the Serie A season as a whole. Juventus, meanwhile, have a better league record and arrive having kept a clean sheet at Lecce.
The recent head-to-head record also favors the visitors: from the five meetings covered by the supplied figures, Juventus have won four and drawn one, with Genoa averaging no goals scored. That record does not settle Wednesday's match, particularly given Genoa's three-game unbeaten home run. It does, however, add to the case for Juventus if they can carry their Lecce performance into another away fixture. Genoa's low-scoring league trend points toward a contest in which taking chances could matter more than the number of chances created.
Genoa vs Juventus prediction from BetMines: Juventus win (2) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Genoa
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2