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Prediction published on Feb 5, 2026 6:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 5, 2026 6:01 PM
The 24th round of Serie A brings an intriguing clash between Genoa and Napoli, scheduled for Saturday, February 7, 2026, at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium. The home side, revitalized under Daniele De Rossi, will try to extend their positive momentum and move further away from the relegation zone, while the visitors aim to maintain their pursuit of the league leaders after a much-needed win last weekend. Both teams come into this fixture with contrasting ambitions but a shared need for consistency, making this encounter one of the most anticipated of the round.
Genoa have shown a fighting spirit since the start of 2026, losing only once in their last six matches. Their recent 3-2 defeat against Lazio came in dramatic fashion, with a penalty conceded in stoppage time denying them a valuable point. Despite that setback, the Rossoblù have managed to climb six points clear of the relegation zone, thanks to a run of two home victories in which they scored at least three goals each time.
In Serie A this season, Genoa’s record stands at 5 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Their recent form shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last five outings, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. These numbers reflect a team that has become more competitive and resilient, especially at home, where they have found attacking rhythm and confidence.
De Rossi’s men will once again rely on their attacking duo of Lorenzo Colombo and Vitinha, who have been instrumental in their recent scoring surge. Midfielder Ruslan Malinovskyi has also been in fine form, finding the net in his last two league appearances. The injury list remains short, with only backup goalkeeper Benjamin Siegrist and new signing Tommaso Baldanzi unavailable. This stability in the squad could play a crucial role as Genoa look to challenge one of the league’s top sides.
After a turbulent spell that included elimination from the Champions League and a heavy 3-0 loss to Juventus, Napoli finally returned to winning ways with a 2-1 victory over Fiorentina. That result ended a three-match winless streak across all competitions and restored some confidence to Antonio Conte’s side. The Partenopei currently sit third in the Serie A standings, nine points off the top, with a season record of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats.
In their last five matches, Napoli have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their away form, however, remains inconsistent, with 6 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats on the road this season. They have not won in their last three away games across all competitions, a trend they will be eager to reverse in Genoa.
Injuries continue to trouble the visitors, with several key players sidelined, including Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, and captain Giovanni Di Lorenzo. Wingers Matteo Politano and David Neres are also unavailable, leaving the squad stretched. Goalkeeper Alex Meret impressed in the last match and is expected to retain his place, while Rasmus Hojlund will be desperate to end his seven-game goal drought in Serie A. Romelu Lukaku remains short of full fitness, further limiting Napoli’s attacking options.
The recent history between these sides favors Napoli, who have won two and drawn three of their last five meetings with Genoa. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 in favor of the Partenopei on October 5, 2025. Across those games, Genoa have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, underlining the challenge they face against one of Serie A’s most consistent teams in recent years.
However, Genoa’s home form and renewed confidence could make this a more balanced contest than the table suggests. The hosts have been scoring freely at the Ferraris, while Napoli’s defensive absences might open up opportunities for the Rossoblù to exploit. On the other hand, Napoli’s attacking quality and experience in high-pressure matches could prove decisive if they manage to control possession and dictate the tempo early on.
Given both teams’ recent scoring trends and defensive vulnerabilities, this fixture promises entertainment and goals. Genoa’s attacking momentum and Napoli’s need to stay in the title race suggest an open game with chances at both ends.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Genoa 27%, Draw 28%, and Napoli 45%. The balance between attack and defense on both sides points toward a lively encounter, with the Over 2.5 goals outcome appearing as the most likely scenario. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score in recent weeks, and with Napoli’s defensive absences combined with Genoa’s home scoring form, goals seem inevitable.
Genoa vs Napoli prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 49% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Genoa
Napoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1