Genoa welcome Südtirol to the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris for a Coppa Italia fixture on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00 local time. The hosts enter the game after a difficult opening phase of their campaign and will look to the cup for a more convincing result. However, the visitors arrive in much stronger form, having avoided defeat in each of their last five matches. Although Genoa represent Serie A and Südtirol compete in Serie B, the recent numbers suggest that the difference between the teams may not be as clear on the pitch. Cup rotation could also influence the contest, with the competition offering opportunities to players who have received fewer minutes. Genoa have home advantage and cannot afford another disappointing performance, but Südtirol's positive run gives the away side reason to approach the match with confidence.

Genoa Recent Form and Key Statistics

Genoa drew 1-1 with Frosinone on September 12, a result that continued an inconsistent sequence. Their last five matches have produced one victory, one draw and three defeats. Across those games, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, meaning their defensive record has been more concerning than their attacking output.

Their Coppa Italia numbers are more encouraging. Genoa have played one match in the competition this season and won it, recording averages of 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. They are also listed first in the supplied Coppa Italia ranking, one place above Südtirol. That cup performance provides a positive reference point, although the broader five-match sequence shows why the hosts still have work to do.

Home matches have regularly produced goals. More than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in Genoa's last 14 home fixtures, while their previous 13 games at home have all featured at least one second-half goal. In Coppa Italia specifically, Genoa have scored at least once in each of their last 12 home matches. These figures indicate that the home side have consistently found a way onto the scoresheet in this competition.

There is nevertheless an important warning in Genoa's recent starts: they have been behind at half-time in each of their last three matches. De Rossi therefore has to address the team's approach and confidence before considering other adjustments. Another slow opening could give an unbeaten Südtirol side the opportunity to make the match increasingly uncomfortable for the hosts.

Südtirol Recent Form and Key Statistics

Südtirol also drew 1-1 on September 12, sharing the points with Modena. Unlike Genoa, however, the visitors have not lost any of their last five matches. Their record over that period stands at two wins and three draws, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game.

That defensive average is one of the clearest reasons why Südtirol should not be underestimated. They have shown that they can remain competitive even without winning every match, and three draws in five outings underline their ability to stay in contests. The four-match unbeaten run highlighted before this fixture has now extended to five following the draw against Modena.

In this season's Coppa Italia, Südtirol have recorded one draw from one appearance. Their competition averages stand at 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. They are listed second in the supplied ranking, directly behind Genoa. While the visitors now face opposition from a higher division, their unbeaten form creates a sharp contrast with the hosts' three defeats from five matches.

Südtirol have also been involved in five goalless matches across their previous 23 fixtures. That statistic does not define most of their recent games, but it shows that low-event contests are part of their record. With a five-match defensive average below one goal conceded, the visitors have a credible platform from which to frustrate Genoa.

Genoa vs Südtirol Match Analysis

The central question is whether Genoa's home and Coppa Italia scoring record can overcome Südtirol's stronger recent form. Genoa have scored in 12 consecutive home matches in this competition and their last 14 home games have all gone over 1.5 total goals. At the same time, they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last five outings and have trailed at the interval three times in succession.

Südtirol approach the game with better momentum. Two victories and three draws from five matches compare favourably with Genoa's one win, one draw and three losses. Their average of 0.8 goals conceded during that sequence also suggests that the hosts may need patience rather than expecting their divisional status to decide the contest.

The direct record provides another relevant angle. Genoa are unbeaten in the supplied head-to-head summary, with one win and one draw, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 0-0 on May 1, 2023. That result, together with Südtirol's current defensive average, points towards the possibility of a controlled game in which clear scoring opportunities are limited.

The statistical probabilities also describe a closely balanced fixture. Genoa have a 38% win probability, compared with 35% for Südtirol and 28% for the draw. Both Teams To Score is rated at 47% for Yes and 53% for No, while the Under 2.5-goal option carries a 58% probability against 42% for Over. Genoa's long run of home matches with at least two total goals means a completely uneventful encounter is not strongly indicated, but the latest head-to-head result and Südtirol's unbeaten, defensively solid sequence support an expectation of limited scoring.

Genoa vs Südtirol prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.