Genoa vs Udinese Prediction: Preview and Analysis of the Match | Serie A

On Friday night, at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium, the 31st round of Serie A kicks off with an exciting match between Genoa and Udinese. Both teams can undoubtedly be satisfied with their season performances so far, sitting 12th and 10th respectively after 30 rounds. The home side, after a tough start, managed to turn their season around by appointing Patrick Vieira, who is experiencing his first stint as a head coach in Italian football. The French manager switched to a 4-2-3-1 formation, improving defensive stability while allowing young talents like Miretti and Zanoli to shine. As a result, Genoa has secured a comfortable 12-point gap from the relegation zone with eight matches remaining. Udinese also took a bold decision last summer by hiring Kosta Runjaic, a manager with no prior experience in Serie A. However, the former Legia Warsaw coach quickly implemented his tactical philosophy, showing great flexibility by frequently changing formations during matches. One of his key achievements has been the resurgence of striker Lorenzo Lucca and the return of Florian Thauvin to his best form, reminiscent of his Marseille days. Like Genoa, Udinese is too far from the top-six spots to have European aspirations, making this match less significant in terms of the league table. Instead, both teams can use the final stretch of the season to lay the groundwork for the next campaign.

Genoa's Recent Form & Key Statistics

Genoa's recent 1-0 loss against Juventus ended a three-match unbeaten streak, consisting of two draws and one win. The Rossoblù have had a solid 2025, losing only four of their 12 games since January while securing four wins and four draws.

Genoa's 35 points after 30 matches have been largely due to their strong performances at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium. They remain unbeaten at home in their last five games (four wins and one draw). So far, they have recorded four home wins, seven draws, and four defeats, with 17 goals scored and 18 conceded in 15 home fixtures.

Udinese's Recent Form & Key Statistics

Between February and early March, Udinese collected 14 points in six games (four wins and two draws), fueling hopes of a European push. However, back-to-back losses against Hellas Verona and Inter ended those aspirations, leaving them 12 points behind the sixth spot with eight matches remaining.

The Friulani have scored in their last five away matches and have an excellent record against teams in the bottom half of the table. Nine of their 11 Serie A victories this season have come against teams currently positioned 12th or lower—a promising sign ahead of their clash with Genoa.

Genoa vs Udinese Tactical Analysis & Prediction

Both Genoa and Udinese have proven to be resilient and difficult to break down, even against Serie A's top teams. Defensively solid, they rely heavily on their creative players—Malinovskyi for Genoa and Thauvin for Udinese (though the latter remains doubtful due to injury concerns).

Recent history favors Genoa, who have won two of their last five meetings against Udinese, with the remaining three ending in draws. Their previous encounter in Udine ended 2-0 in Genoa's favor, although an early red card for Isaak Toure played a key role. Notably, four of the last five matchups have featured under 2.5 goals.

Given the lack of motivation for both teams and their cautious playing styles in recent matches, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Genoa vs Udinese predicts a match with under 2.5 total goals.

• The BetMines prediction for the Genoa vs Udinese match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 58%.
• The BetMines prediction for the Genoa vs Udinese match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 42%.

Predicted Lineups Genoa vs Udinese

Genoa (4-2-3-1): Leali; Sabelli, De Winter, Vasquez, Matturro; Frendrup, Masini; Miretti, Zanoli, Malinovskyi; Pinamonti. Coach: Vieira

Udinese (4-4-2): Okoye; Zemura, Bijol, Solet, Ehizibue; Atta, Lovric, Karlström, Ekkelenkamp; Lucca, Bravo. Coach: Runjaic