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Genoa
2:00 PM
October 25, 2026
Venezia
Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 1:09 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 1:09 PM
Genoa host Venezia at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on October 25, 2026, in a Serie A meeting between teams placed 17th and 20th respectively. Both arrive with one league win from their opening seven matches, although their most recent results offer contrasting starting points for this preview. Genoa lost 2-0 to Roma on October 17, while Venezia beat Napoli 1-0 on the same day to end a run of six consecutive league defeats. With points needed at both ends of the fixture, Genoa's home record and Venezia's difficulties on the road are central to the contest.
Genoa have taken one win and one draw from seven Serie A games, losing the other five. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.4 per game. Their season averages in the league stand at 0.7 scored and 1.9 conceded. The defeat at Roma has added to the pressure on Daniele De Rossi, whose side have struggled to turn their chances into goals: Genoa have managed just 20 shots on target in this Serie A campaign, the lowest total in the division.
Home results provide a more encouraging angle for the hosts. Genoa beat Fiorentina 2-1 in their most recent home victory and have won half of their last six matches at their ground, averaging 1.50 goals scored across that stretch. Osmajic has been involved in three of Genoa's four home goals so far, scoring twice and providing one assist in three appearances. Even so, defensive security remains an issue: Genoa have conceded at least once in each of their last nine home matches.
The broader scoring trends suggest that home games have not been devoid of opportunities. At least two total goals have been scored in Genoa's last 14 home Serie A matches, while every one of their last 15 home matches has featured a second-half goal. On the other hand, 20 of their last 21 Serie A games have finished with fewer than four total goals. Genoa will be without Sow, Venturino, Havel, Colombo and Ehizibue for this fixture.
Venezia travel to Genova after Akor Adams scored the only goal against Napoli, giving Davide Nicola a win following the change from Stroppa. The result also brought a clean sheet and stopped a six-game losing sequence in Serie A. It remains to be seen whether Venezia can build on that response: their league record is one win and six defeats, with averages of 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match. Over their last five games, they have won once and lost four times, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.4 against.
Turning that home success into an away result is the next challenge. Venezia have lost their last five Serie A trips, conceding an average of 2.80 goals per away match during that run. They have also gone 29 consecutive top-flight away games without a win, drawing 10 and losing 19. Those figures make their victory over Napoli an important boost, but not yet evidence that their problems away from home have been resolved.
Venezia's matches have regularly produced goals from both sides combined: at least two have been scored in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures and in 37 of their last 40 matches overall. A second-half goal has featured in 21 of their last 23 games, including 18 of their last 20 away matches. Antoine Hainaut has been involved in all three Venezia goals scored by defenders from assists supplied by other defenders this season. Nicola will be without Busio, Franjic, Sverko, Adorante, Correia and Bella-Kotchap.
The case for Genoa begins with the setting. In nine previous home Serie A meetings with Venezia, they have recorded eight wins and one draw, keeping clean sheets in the last four of those home encounters. The more recent five-match head-to-head summary is closer, however, with three Genoa wins and two Venezia victories. Genoa therefore have a strong home history in this fixture, but their current scoring difficulties leave room for a tighter contest.
There is also a reason for both teams to stay alert late on. Genoa and Venezia have each conceded four goals in the final 15 minutes of matches this Serie A season, the joint-highest totals in the league. Genoa have yet to score after the 76th minute, while both clubs' recent match trends show how often goals arrive after half-time. Venezia's away concessions offer the hosts an opening, but Genoa's run of nine home games without a clean sheet gives the visitors a route into the match as well.
For this Genoa vs Venezia preview, the balance lies between the hosts' favourable record at the Ferraris and the visitors' chance to carry momentum from their win over Napoli. Genoa need greater attacking output than they showed in the defeat to Roma; Venezia need to show that their improved result can travel. With both sides conceding regularly in relevant recent games, a goal at each end fits the available evidence.
Genoa vs Venezia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Genoa
Venezia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3