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Prediction published on May 9, 2026 12:01 AM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on May 9, 2026 12:01 AM
The upcoming Jupiler Pro League clash between La Gantoise and Anderlecht promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides looking to finish the season on a high note. Scheduled for May 10, 2026, this fixture brings together two traditional Belgian clubs separated by just a few points in the standings. With Gent currently sitting sixth and Anderlecht fourth, both teams are eager to secure a result that could strengthen their position in the league table. The previous meeting ended 3-1 in favor of Anderlecht, a result that Gent will be keen to avenge in front of their supporters.
La Gantoise approach this match in a difficult period, having failed to win any of their last five league games. Their recent 1-0 defeat against Mechelen on May 3 highlighted their ongoing struggles in front of goal. Over those five matches, Gent have recorded two draws and three losses, scoring an average of just 0.2 goals per game while conceding 1.2. This lack of attacking efficiency has been a major concern for the team, which has now gone several matches without finding the net consistently.
Across the season, Gent’s record stands at 13 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their balanced goal ratio suggests a team capable of competing but lacking the decisive edge in key moments. Interestingly, under 0.5 total goals have been recorded in only two of their last ten league fixtures, indicating that while Gent’s attack has been subdued, their matches still tend to produce some scoring opportunities. However, the lack of recent victories has put pressure on the squad to deliver a strong home performance.
Gent’s home advantage could play a crucial role, but they will need to rediscover their attacking rhythm to challenge a side that has historically dominated this matchup. In their last five head-to-head meetings with Anderlecht, Gent have managed just one win and suffered four defeats, scoring an average of one goal per game while conceding 1.6.
Anderlecht also come into this fixture after a setback, having lost 3-1 to Club Brugge on May 3. Despite that defeat, their overall form has been slightly better than Gent’s, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. The team has shown attacking intent, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game, but defensive vulnerabilities remain evident, with 2.0 goals conceded on average during the same period.
Over the course of the season, Anderlecht’s record mirrors Gent’s in many ways: 14 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. However, their away performances have been particularly eventful. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 20 away matches, including all 17 away fixtures in the Pro League. This trend suggests that Anderlecht’s games often come alive after the break, making them a team that tends to grow into matches rather than dominate early on.
One area of concern for Anderlecht is their tendency to start slowly. They have been behind at half time in six of their last ten league matches, a pattern that could prove costly if Gent manage to capitalize early. Nevertheless, Anderlecht’s attacking potential and ability to find goals in the second half make them a dangerous opponent, especially against a Gent side struggling for confidence.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting recent trajectories but similar season-long statistics. Gent will look to use their home advantage to end a poor run of form, while Anderlecht aim to bounce back from their recent defeat and consolidate their top-four position. The head-to-head record clearly favors Anderlecht, who have won four of the last five meetings, including the 3-1 victory in April 2026.
From a tactical standpoint, Gent’s main challenge will be to rediscover their attacking sharpness. Their recent average of 0.2 goals per game over five matches highlights a lack of creativity and finishing power. Anderlecht, on the other hand, have been more prolific but defensively inconsistent, often conceding multiple goals per match. Given these dynamics, the encounter could produce goals, especially in the second half, where Anderlecht’s matches tend to open up.
Statistically, the probabilities for this match suggest a very balanced contest: Gent have a 39% chance of winning, the draw stands at 25%, and Anderlecht’s win probability is 36%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market is favored at 61%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 58% likelihood, indicating that an open and entertaining match could be on the cards.
Gent vs Anderlecht prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score – Yes with a 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Gent
Anderlecht
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
8
2
3
7
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
9
1
9
1