Georgia host Hungary at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in Tbilisi on November 14, 2026, with their UEFA Nations League Group 2 campaign at a critical point. Georgia are fourth with two points and have yet to score in this season’s competition. Second-placed Hungary are five points ahead and arrive after consecutive wins over Georgia and Ukraine. The hosts need a result to improve their chances of staying in League B, while Hungary can strengthen their position before a final group match against Northern Ireland. Their previous meeting, on October 2, ended in a 1-0 home win for Hungary, setting up another contest in which goals could be hard to come by.

Georgia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Georgia have drawn twice and lost twice in four Nations League matches this season, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Their most recent group result was a 0-0 draw with Northern Ireland on October 5. Although they have kept their opponents’ scoring down, finding a goal of their own remains the immediate challenge. That task is made more difficult by the injury absence of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, identified as a key figure in Georgia’s attack.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Georgia have one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. That broader record includes matches outside this Nations League campaign; within the group, they remain winless and scoreless. They have also failed to win any of their last three competitive home games. Returning home gives Georgia an opportunity to respond to the narrow defeat in Hungary, but their recent attacking figures leave little margin for error.

Several home-match patterns add context without pointing to a guaranteed repeat. At least one team has failed to score before half-time in each of Georgia’s last 20 home matches, while 18 of those 20 have featured at least one second-half goal. In the Nations League, three of their last 10 home matches have finished without a goal. Georgia therefore have reason to stay patient, even if an opening-half breakthrough proves elusive.

Hungary’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Hungary recovered from taking one point in their opening two group games by beating Georgia 1-0 and then winning 2-1 away to Ukraine on October 5. Their Nations League record now stands at two wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Those numbers show a side that has not needed a high-scoring run to collect points: their two recent victories were each decided by a single goal.

Across their last five matches, Hungary have three wins, one draw and one defeat. They average 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over that span, a stronger recent return than Georgia’s. They are also unbeaten in their last six away matches, only one of which was a friendly. That record, together with the win in Ukraine, gives Hungary a useful basis for confidence on this trip, although the earlier 1-0 meeting shows how narrow the gap on the pitch can be.

Hungary trail group leaders Northern Ireland by one point and will host them in the final group game. Northern Ireland face Ukraine in the other fixture, so a win in Tbilisi would keep Hungary firmly in contention heading into that last match. Their focus here is first on extending their two-game winning sequence against a Georgia side they have already prevented from scoring.

Georgia vs Hungary Match Analysis

The contrast in recent results favors Hungary, but the scoring data points toward a tight Georgia vs Hungary match preview rather than an assumption of a comfortable away victory. Georgia have conceded only 0.5 goals per game in this Nations League campaign, and Hungary have the same defensive average. The hosts’ problem has been at the other end: four group games have produced no Georgia goals, including the 1-0 loss in the only previous meeting between these teams.

The latest results reinforce that cautious outlook. Georgia’s 0-0 draw with Northern Ireland kept their scoring drought intact, while Hungary followed their 1-0 win over Georgia with a 2-1 victory over Ukraine. Georgia’s last-five-match averages of 0.4 goals both scored and conceded also suggest that their games have offered few goals recently. Hungary have shown more ability to turn close contests into wins, yet neither team’s Nations League scoring average suggests that a high total should be taken for granted.

Georgia’s need for points could make the match increasingly urgent, particularly if it remains level. Their long run of home games featuring a second-half goal offers a reason to watch for a change after the break, but it does not by itself indicate a high-scoring finish. With Hungary’s recent advantage balanced against low group scoring averages and a 1-0 head-to-head result, the under 2.5 goals selection is the most coherent conclusion from the available match data.

Georgia vs Hungary prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.