Germany host the Netherlands at Olympiastadion Berlin on Monday, November 16, with the final round of UEFA Nations League Group A2 matches set to determine who advances. The sides drew 1-1 in their previous meeting, and both arrive after victories on November 13: Germany beat Serbia 3-1 away, while the Netherlands defeated Greece 7-0. The visitors lead the group on 11 points, with Germany third on eight. A draw is enough for the Netherlands to secure top spot, while Germany need a win and a favorable result in the simultaneous Greece–Serbia match. That gives this Germany vs Netherlands preview a straightforward central question: can the hosts contain an unbeaten Dutch side while finding the goals they need?

Germany's Recent Form and Key Stats

Germany have recovered from a difficult September to go unbeaten in their last three Nations League matches. Friday's 3-1 victory in Serbia brought their competition record to two wins, two draws and one defeat from five games. Across their last five matches, they have scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 0.6 per game.

Defensive results have been Germany's strongest feature in League A: they have conceded just three goals in five matches, fewer than any other team in the top tier. Their attacking figures tell a more complicated story. Germany have scored six goals despite recording 11.5 expected goals, suggesting they have not converted enough of the chances they have produced. Against Serbia, Florian Wirtz scored Germany's second goal and finished with five shots, three on target, and 1.57 expected goals. Brajan Gruda also scored on his national-team debut, winning 19 duels and completing eight successful dribbles.

At home, Germany have one win and one defeat in this Nations League campaign, although that loss is their only defeat in their last seven home matches across all competitions; they won the other six. Their recent meetings with the Netherlands offer further encouragement: Germany are unbeaten in the last five, with two wins and three draws. Goals have featured after the interval in their matches, too, with at least one second-half goal in each of Germany's last 18 home games. Germany reported no new injury concerns after the Serbia match, though Waldemar Anton had already withdrawn from the squad and was replaced by Ridle Baku.

Netherlands' Recent Form and Key Stats

The Netherlands arrive unbeaten in their five Nations League matches, having recorded three wins and two draws. Their 7-0 win over Greece was their biggest result of this group campaign and took their tally to 14 goals in five games, an average of 2.8. They have also averaged one goal conceded per match. Under Xavi, the visitors are unbeaten in five games, and their lead in the group means they do not need a victory in Berlin to finish first.

The attacking numbers go beyond the score against Greece. The Netherlands have averaged 8.6 shots on goal per match, the most in League A, and have created 24 big chances, the second-highest total. Tijjani Reijnders scored a first-half hat-trick against Greece, while Donyell Malen contributed a goal and two assists. Malen has recorded 12 direct goal contributions across his last eight matches for club and country.

The Dutch have scored in 22 of their last 23 Nations League matches and have played ten consecutive matches featuring at least two total goals. They are also unbeaten in their last six away games across all competitions, winning four and drawing two. Their broader run stands at 22 matches without defeat in their last 23. The Netherlands reported no new injury concerns after the Greece game, although Virgil van Dijk is not in the squad this month.

Germany vs Netherlands Match Analysis

The hosts' defensive record makes this an interesting test for a Netherlands attack that has been prolific throughout the group. Germany have conceded only three times in five Nations League games, but the visitors have scored 14 and have found the net with remarkable consistency across their recent competition matches. Friday's results underlined both sides' ability to create chances, even if Germany's overall scoring return remains modest compared with their expected-goals figure.

Germany must pursue a victory, whereas the Netherlands can reach their objective with a draw. Those different requirements could shape the contest, but the 1-1 result in their September meeting shows that neither side needs to dominate for both to score. Germany's unbeaten five-match head-to-head run gives them a positive record to defend; the Dutch counter that with an unbeaten group campaign and six away matches without defeat. Second-half goals have also been a recurring feature for both teams: Germany's last 18 home matches and the Netherlands' last 18 matches have all produced at least one after the break. Taken together, the recent meeting and the visitors' reliable scoring record point toward chances at both ends, despite Germany's strong defensive numbers.

Germany vs Netherlands prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 64% probability.