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Prediction published on Sep 18, 2026 12:07 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Sep 18, 2026 12:07 PM
Getafe welcome Málaga to the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez on September 20, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 12:00 local time. The La Liga fixture carries particular significance after difficult starts from both clubs. Getafe sit 16th with one win, two draws and three defeats, while 19th-placed Málaga are still searching for their first league victory after three draws and three losses. The hosts have collected all their points at home and remain unbeaten at the Coliseum, but their limited squad depth has contributed to physical difficulties later in matches. Málaga, meanwhile, have endured a demanding schedule and are struggling to turn competitive spells into victories. With both teams averaging only 0.5 goals scored per league game, this contest could be decided by small margins.
Getafe enter the match without a win in their last five outings, recording two draws and three defeats while averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their latest result was a 1-0 loss against Real Betis on September 17. Across the La Liga season, the Azulones have won once, drawn twice and lost three times, with averages of 0.5 goals for and 1.2 against per fixture.
The campaign began with a 3-0 defeat against Alavés, although two of those goals arrived late after Getafe had been reduced to ten players during the first half. Their only league success came in a 1-0 win over Racing, a match in which they also saved a penalty. A narrow 1-0 defeat at Osasuna followed, while the two most recent home league games ended 1-1 against Celta and Deportivo. Getafe took the lead in both of those draws but were unable to protect their advantage.
Home form nevertheless provides an important source of encouragement. Every league point collected by Getafe this season has come at the Coliseum, where they have not yet lost. Their direct, intense and competitive approach has remained evident, although the shortage of alternatives from the bench can become a problem as games progress. Getafe have also been involved in consistently controlled scorelines: 26 of their last 27 La Liga matches produced under 3.5 goals, as did 27 of their last 29 games across all competitions.
Enes Unal has scored three times in all competitions and contributes through his ability to retain possession, contest direct passes and create second-ball opportunities. Satriano offers physical strength, dribbling and link-up play, while Terrats and Iván Azón are also identified as important attacking options. Getafe will be without Uche and Juanmi, with Femenía considered close to being ruled out.
Málaga have taken three draws and suffered three defeats in their opening six league matches. Their last five games brought no wins, three draws and two losses, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The most recent setback was a 3-1 home defeat against Villarreal on September 17. Their full-season averages stand at 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per La Liga fixture.
The visitors opened the campaign with a 2-0 defeat at Atlético de Madrid before drawing 1-1 with Deportivo. A 4-0 loss against Real Madrid underlined the difficulty of their early schedule. Málaga then drew 0-0 with Levante after Chupe missed a first-half penalty, before claiming another point in a 1-1 result at Celta. In that match, Adrián Niño scored during the closing stages. However, the subsequent defeat to Villarreal prevented the Andalusian side from building momentum.
Goals have been difficult to find. Chupe is the team's leading scorer with one league goal, while Larrubia is expected to provide creativity from wide areas. Goalkeeper Alfonso Herrero has been one of Málaga's leading performers, making important interventions during challenging periods. The team has also faced three Champions League participants within its first six fixtures, a sequence that has complicated its return to the top division.
Málaga have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per league match, but their away fixtures have regularly become more active after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 15 away matches. Murillo, Lobete, Cajuste, Ochoa and Diarra are unavailable, while Calero and Aznou remain doubtful.
Getafe: Soria; Zaid, Gudelj, Djené, Mojica; Mangala, Mario Martín, Andrés García; Terrats, Satriano, Unal.
Málaga: Herrero; Recio, Galilea, Puga, Rafita; Merino, Dotor, Dani Lorenzo; Larrubia, Joaquín, Chupe.
The available statistics point towards a close La Liga encounter rather than an open contest. Getafe have not won in five matches, but their unbeaten home record gives them a stronger platform than their overall form suggests. Málaga have also gone five games without a victory and are yet to win this season, with their low scoring average placing additional pressure on a defence conceding 1.8 goals per game.
First-half caution is a recurring feature of Getafe's matches. At least one side has failed to score before half-time in each of their last 35 La Liga fixtures, while the same outcome occurred in 29 of their last 30 games across all competitions. In addition, 32 of Getafe's last 35 league matches featured under 1.5 first-half goals. Those trends fit a game in which the hosts may rely on direct play and Málaga may initially prioritise avoiding another early setback.
The head-to-head record gives Getafe three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. The latest meeting ended in a 1-0 away victory on May 19, 2018. Current probabilities also show a narrow home advantage, with Getafe rated at 40%, the draw at 29% and Málaga at 31%. However, the strongest statistical theme concerns the anticipated number of goals: under 2.5 is assessed at 60%, compared with 40% for over 2.5, while Both Teams To Score is rated 47% for Yes and 53% for No.
Getafe's home resilience, Málaga's lack of attacking output and the hosts' long sequence of matches staying below four goals all support expectations of a measured contest. Málaga's record of second-half goals on their travels suggests the game could become more eventful after the break, but the broader evidence still favours a limited overall scoreline.
Getafe vs Málaga prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Getafe
Málaga
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1