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Getafe
3 - 1
FT
Partizan
Prediction published on Aug 18, 2026 8:08 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Aug 18, 2026 8:08 PM
Getafe and Partizan meet on Thursday, August 20, in the 2026-27 Europa Conference League play-off round. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 local time at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. The winner of this two-legged tie will advance to the league phase, giving both clubs a major incentive to establish an advantage. Getafe are returning to European competition for the first time since the 2019-20 season, while Partizan have already negotiated two qualifying rounds in this tournament. The hosts enter the fixture following a difficult sequence of results, whereas the visitors have combined strong Conference League performances with an encouraging recent away record.
Getafe opened their 2026-27 La Liga campaign with a 3-0 defeat away to Deportivo Alavés on August 15. That loss extended their winless sequence to five matches, with the Spanish side recording two draws and three defeats during that period. Their recent attacking return has been limited to an average of 0.4 goals per game, while they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals.
The home side therefore approach their European return under pressure to improve at both ends of the pitch. Scoring has been a particular concern across the latest five-game sample, while the number of goals conceded illustrates the challenge they face in trying to control this play-off fixture. Their most recent result made those issues especially visible, as Getafe conceded three times without finding the net themselves.
There is nevertheless a more positive element in their home record. Getafe won their last two matches at home, giving them a platform from which to seek a response after the setback against Deportivo Alavés. Reproducing that effectiveness will be important against a Partizan side that has already built momentum in Conference League qualifying.
Several longer-term match trends also point towards controlled scoring totals. In 21 of Getafe’s last 22 matches, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in total. In addition, at least one of the teams failed to score before half-time in each of Getafe’s last 23 matches. These figures suggest that early goals involving both sides have been rare and that Getafe’s fixtures have generally remained below a high total-goals line.
Partizan also arrive after a domestic defeat, having lost 1-0 to Radnički Kragujevac on August 16. Their wider form is more encouraging, however. The visitors have collected three wins and two defeats from their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game and conceding only 0.8 over that sequence. The article’s six-match sample similarly records four victories and two losses.
Their performances in the Europa Conference League provide the strongest part of Partizan’s case. They have won all four of their matches in this season’s competition, averaging 2.5 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded. That record means the visitors reach the play-off with a perfect sequence in Europe this season, having successfully progressed through both of their qualifying rounds.
Partizan have also avoided draws in their last 16 Conference League matches. That trend reflects a long run of decisive results in this competition and contrasts with Getafe’s two draws during their current five-match winless streak. Although the latest domestic result interrupted Partizan’s momentum, their continental numbers remain considerably stronger than their opponents’ recent overall figures.
The visitors’ away sequence adds another relevant factor. Partizan have registered three wins and one draw in their last four trips, showing that their positive results have not depended solely on home matches. Two of their last ten away fixtures finished without a goal for either side, but the broader record indicates that they have repeatedly found ways to avoid defeat on the road.
The contrast between the teams is clear heading into this Europa Conference League play-off. Getafe have home advantage and two consecutive home victories, but their broader form contains no wins in five matches. Partizan, meanwhile, have lost two of their latest five games yet remain perfect in this season’s European campaign. Their four Conference League victories, coupled with a strong recent record away from home, make them a serious threat in this fixture.
The supplied win probabilities reinforce that competitive picture, assigning 47% to a Partizan victory, compared with 28% for Getafe and 25% for the draw. The ranking data provided for the Europa Conference League also lists Partizan as 1 and Getafe as 2. While Getafe’s return to Europe and recent home wins provide reasons for confidence, the visitors bring the stronger tournament-specific evidence into the match.
The goals markets are much tighter. Under 2.5 goals carries a 51% probability, narrowly ahead of the 49% attached to over 2.5, while both-teams-to-score is divided evenly at 50% for each outcome. Getafe’s sequence of 21 under-3.5 results in 22 matches supports the possibility of a restrained contest, as does their average of only 0.4 goals scored across the last five games. Partizan’s European average of 2.5 goals scored, however, means the visitors have demonstrated a greater attacking output in this competition.
Getafe will be seeking an immediate response to their 3-0 opening defeat, but Partizan’s four consecutive Conference League wins and their record of three victories from four recent away matches give the visitors the more convincing statistical profile. With the winner of the tie progressing to the league phase, this encounter carries significant importance, and Partizan’s current European form makes an away victory the most coherent conclusion among the available selections.
Getafe vs Partizan prediction from BetMines: Partizan win (2) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Getafe
Partizan
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0