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Prediction published on Aug 21, 2026 6:04 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Aug 21, 2026 6:04 PM
Getafe host Racing Santander in La Liga on Sunday, August 23, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. The two clubs enter the second league fixture after contrasting opening results. Getafe were beaten 3-0 by Deportivo Alavés, while Racing marked their return to the top division with a 2-2 draw against Villarreal. The hosts have already produced a response in European competition, defeating Partizan 3-1 on Thursday, and will now seek their first league points. Racing, meanwhile, travel with an opportunity to build on the point collected in their opening match. This will also be the first meeting between the teams for almost 15 years, with their previous encounter ending 1-1 on May 1, 2012.
Getafe began their La Liga campaign with a difficult 3-0 defeat against Deportivo Alavés. That result leaves them with no points from one league match, an average of 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded, and 19th place in the early ranking. Their wider five-match record also shows room for improvement: one victory, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
The reaction against Partizan was therefore significant. Getafe won 3-1 on August 20 in their Conference play-off commitment, putting themselves in a strong position in that tie and arriving at this domestic fixture with renewed confidence. The quick turnaround gives them little time to celebrate, but the performance provided a much more positive reference point than their league opener.
Getafe are also trying to make home advantage count. They ended the previous campaign by winning their final two home matches, and the visit of a newly promoted opponent offers another chance to establish momentum at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez. Their squad has been reinforced by players including Enes Ünal, Mojica and Terrats, while the demands of European and domestic football make the distribution of playing time an important consideration.
Several long-running trends point towards controlled match conditions rather than an open contest. In 21 of Getafe’s last 22 La Liga matches, fewer than 3.5 total goals were scored. At least one side also failed to score in the first half in each of their last 31 league games, while fewer than 1.5 first-half goals were recorded in 28 of those 31 fixtures. Another notable home trend is that fewer than 7.5 corners were taken in each of Getafe’s last four home matches.
Racing Santander returned to the highest level by earning a 2-2 home draw against Villarreal on August 16. That result gives Racing one point from their opening La Liga fixture, with early-season averages of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. They are sixth in the current ranking, although only one round has been completed.
Across their last five matches, Racing have registered one win, two draws and two defeats. They averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded during that sequence. Their away form has been less convincing when official games and friendlies are considered together, as they have managed only one victory in their last six trips. The challenge here is to carry the attacking contribution shown against Villarreal into an away fixture against a Getafe side coming off a morale-boosting European success.
The visitors have added Sergio Canales, Agirrezabala and Facundo González to their squad. They have also retained players identified as important to their promotion, including Salinas and Iñigo Vicente. Racing’s opening draw demonstrated that they can contribute to a game with several goals, but the historical profile of Getafe’s league matches suggests that this contest may develop differently.
The head-to-head summary gives Getafe two wins, Racing two wins and two draws across the listed meetings, with Getafe averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The most recent match between the sides finished level at 1-1. Although that meeting took place in 2012 and offers limited guidance for the current fixture, it reinforces the sense that the teams are renewing a matchup after a lengthy absence.
Getafe: Soria; Andrés García, Djené, Abqar, Romero, Davinchi; Mangala, Mario Martín; Terrats, Satriano, Enes Unal.
Racing Santander: Agirrezabala; Mantilla, Manu Hernando, Pablo Ramón, Salinas; Puerta, Sergio Martínez, Canales; Andrés Martín, Iñigo Vicente, Villalibre.
The available indicators create a balanced picture. Getafe have the stronger immediate result after their 3-1 victory over Partizan, but their five-match record contains three defeats and their league campaign started with a heavy loss. Racing opened with a creditable draw and scored twice, yet their wider away sequence contains just one win in six outings. The win probabilities reflect that uncertainty: Getafe 39%, draw 28% and Racing Santander 33%.
Goal-related probabilities are similarly close. Both Teams To Score is rated at 51%, compared with 49% for No, while Over 2.5 goals also stands at 51% against 49% for Under. Getafe’s established league pattern, however, shows that 21 of their last 22 matches stayed under 3.5 goals. Their first-half statistics are even more restrictive, with at least one team failing to score before the interval in 33 of their last 35 matches across the supplied sequence.
The corners data offers a clearer angle. Getafe’s last four home fixtures all produced under 7.5 corners, which is a stricter threshold than the available under 10.5 selection. That repeated home pattern supports the prospect of a match with a moderate corner count. With Getafe balancing a quick turnaround after Thursday’s European game and Racing facing their first away league assignment of the campaign, the statistical case is strongest around corners rather than a narrow result or goals market.
Getafe vs Racing Santander prediction from BetMines: Under 10.5 corners with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Getafe
Racing Santander
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
0
10
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3