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Prediction published on Feb 20, 2026 3:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Feb 20, 2026 3:01 PM
The upcoming LaLiga clash between Getafe and Sevilla promises to be a tense and crucial encounter for both sides, as each seeks to move further away from the relegation zone. The hosts currently sit 11th with 29 points, while the visitors are 13th with three points fewer. With only a narrow gap separating them from the bottom three, every point gained at this stage of the season could prove decisive. Both teams have shown contrasting trends in recent weeks, with Getafe finding some stability and Sevilla struggling to maintain consistency.
Getafe have experienced a noticeable improvement in recent rounds. After a difficult spell that included defeats against Real Sociedad (1-2) and Valencia (0-1), they managed to recover with a 1-1 draw at Montilivi and another goalless draw against Celta. Their resurgence became evident with back-to-back victories over Alavés (0-2) and Villarreal (2-1), results that have lifted them to mid-table safety. The team’s defensive structure has been key, conceding just 0.6 goals per match in their last five outings, while scoring an average of one goal per game.
Across the season, Getafe’s record stands at 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their home performances have been characterized by low-scoring affairs: under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 30 of their last 31 league matches, and under 1.5 goals at half time in their last 11 home fixtures. The Azulones rarely dominate early, having failed to lead at half time in 19 of their last 20 league games. However, they often find rhythm after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 LaLiga matches.
Injuries have slightly limited their options, with Kamara, Mario Martín, Davinchi, and Borja Mayoral unavailable. Even so, the team’s recent cohesion and defensive discipline have provided a solid foundation. Their ability to remain unbeaten in four consecutive matches has restored confidence among the fans and within the squad.
Sevilla approach this fixture in a more uncertain mood. Their recent 1-1 draw against Alavés extended a run of mixed results that includes one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. Over that period, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, reflecting both attacking potential and defensive fragility. Their season record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses underlines the inconsistency that has plagued their campaign.
Earlier in the season, Sevilla endured a difficult stretch of four consecutive defeats in LaLiga, losing to Alavés (1-0), Real Madrid (2-0), Levante (0-3), and Celta (0-1). They managed to stop the slide with a dramatic 2-2 draw at Elche, followed by a surprise 2-1 victory over Athletic. However, subsequent setbacks — a heavy 4-1 loss at Mallorca and two consecutive 1-1 draws against Girona and Alavés — have prevented them from building momentum. Their matches tend to be open, with both teams scoring in each of their last five league games. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in all of their last 17 matches, showing a tendency for late drama.
Sevilla’s squad is stretched by suspensions and injuries. Several key players are unavailable, including Juanlu, Joan Jordán, and their coach, while Oso, Azpilicueta, Castrín, Marcao, Januzaj, and Vargas are sidelined. Despite these absences, the Andalusians remain competitive, often relying on resilience and individual quality to stay in matches.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting styles and recent trajectories. Getafe have rediscovered their defensive solidity and are difficult to break down at home, where low-scoring matches are the norm. Their disciplined back line and compact midfield make them particularly effective in frustrating opponents. On the other hand, Sevilla have been more unpredictable, capable of scoring but also prone to defensive lapses that cost them points.
Historically, Sevilla have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five head-to-head encounters, including a 2-1 victory in August 2025. However, Getafe’s current form and home advantage could tilt the balance this time. The hosts’ recent improvement, combined with Sevilla’s inconsistency and injury problems, suggests a tight contest where the home side may have the edge in determination and organization.
Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, this match is expected to be balanced and low-scoring. Getafe’s defensive resilience contrasts with Sevilla’s more open approach, suggesting a cautious start followed by a livelier second half. The home side’s recent momentum and solid defensive record make them slight favorites to avoid defeat.
Getafe vs Sevilla prediction from BetMines: Double Chance – Getafe or Draw (1X) with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Getafe
Sevilla
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2