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Gimnasia La Plata
2 - 3
FT
Independiente Rivadavia
Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 8:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata and Independiente Rivadavia de Mendoza promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the weekend in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Scheduled for Sunday at 15:15 (Argentina time), the match will take place at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, where the home side will look to build on their recent away victory and regain consistency in front of their fans. With only three points separating the two teams in the standings, both arrive with contrasting dynamics but similar ambitions — to stay close to the top positions of the table.
Gimnasia La Plata come into this encounter after a morale-boosting 2-1 win away at Banfield, a result that ended a short winless run and restored confidence in their campaign. Despite that success, the “Lobo” have struggled at home recently, failing to win their last two matches in La Plata — a goalless draw against Estudiantes and a 2-1 defeat to Rosario Central. Their season record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, reflecting a balanced but inconsistent performance overall.
Interestingly, Gimnasia have shown strong starts in recent matches, having led at half time in each of their last four league games. However, their matches tend to be tight affairs, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in 37 of their last 40 league fixtures. Another notable trend is that at least one team failed to score in the second half in 37 of their last 39 matches, underlining their defensive discipline but also a lack of late attacking spark.
At home, Gimnasia will aim to rediscover their winning touch. Their supporters expect a reaction, especially after two disappointing results at the Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo. A victory here could push them closer to the top three and confirm their status as one of the most competitive sides in the division.
Independiente Rivadavia started the season in impressive fashion, spending several rounds near the top of the table. However, their momentum has slowed down in recent weeks. The “Lepra Mendocina” have gone three matches without a win, including a 1-2 home defeat to Barracas Central in their most recent outing. Before that, they drew with River Plate and Racing Club, showing resilience but also signs of fatigue as the season progresses.
Despite this dip, Independiente Rivadavia remain in 2nd place in the standings, with a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, suggesting a slightly more attacking profile than their upcoming rivals. However, their recent inability to secure victories has raised questions about their consistency. Historically, their matches tend to be low-scoring as well, with Under 0.5 goals in 4 of their last 16 league games, indicating a cautious approach in certain phases of play.
For this trip to La Plata, Independiente Rivadavia will aim to rediscover their early-season sharpness. Their away form has been mixed, and facing a side that tends to control first halves could be a challenge. Still, their attacking potential remains a threat, and they will look to exploit any defensive lapses from Gimnasia.
The recent history between these two sides suggests a balanced rivalry. In their last five meetings, Gimnasia have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, with both teams averaging 1.4 goals per game. The most recent encounter ended 1-0, showing how tight and competitive these clashes can be. Given both teams’ current form and statistical tendencies, another close contest with limited scoring opportunities seems likely.
Gimnasia’s strength lies in their structured defense and ability to take early leads, while Independiente Rivadavia rely on quick transitions and efficient finishing. The key battle could unfold in midfield, where control of possession will determine who dictates the tempo. If Gimnasia manage to replicate their recent away performance and maintain composure at home, they could edge the contest. On the other hand, Independiente Rivadavia’s attacking efficiency might be enough to snatch a result if they find space behind the home defense.
Considering the balance between both sides and their recent scoring patterns, this fixture is expected to be competitive and tactically disciplined. Gimnasia’s home struggles contrast with Independiente Rivadavia’s recent dip in form, making it difficult to identify a clear favorite. However, both teams have shown the ability to find the net, even in tight matches.
Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente Rivadavia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Gimnasia La Plata
Independiente Rivadavia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3