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Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
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Independiente Rivadavia
Prediction published on Nov 6, 2026 8:05 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Nov 6, 2026 8:05 PM
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza host Independiente Rivadavia on November 7 in the final round of the Clausura regular season, with both sides still able to reach the round of 16. The Mendoza rivals meet at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte in Godoy Cruz at 18:00 local time. A victory would secure progress without relying on other results, while defeat could leave either team out, although results elsewhere may still offer a route through. That gives this Liga Profesional de Fútbol match significance beyond the rivalry itself.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza drew 1-1 with Lanús on November 1. The result followed a 2-1 defeat to Platense, meaning they have both scored and conceded in their last two league fixtures. Across their five most recent matches, however, Gimnasia have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. They have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game in that stretch, so their recent scoring rate has been modest despite finding the net in those two fixtures.
Over the Liga Profesional de Fútbol season, Gimnasia's record stands at 11 wins, seven draws and 13 defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The Clausura figures cited for this fixture are closer together: 17 goals scored and 16 allowed. That balance leaves room for a contest in which they create chances but also give Independiente Rivadavia opportunities.
There is a notable second-half pattern in Gimnasia's league games: at least one goal has been scored after the break in 21 of their last 22 Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches. At the same time, at least one of the two teams failed to score in the second half in 29 of Gimnasia's last 31 league fixtures. Those figures point to late goals being common without suggesting that both sides routinely score after half-time. Two of Gimnasia's last ten home matches have finished without a goal from either team.
Independiente Rivadavia arrive after a 3-1 win over Banfield on November 3. Their broader five-match record is one victory, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. The Banfield result offers encouragement in attack, but the goals-against average across those five fixtures shows why this trip may be demanding.
Independiente Rivadavia have won 16, drawn eight and lost eight of their Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches this season. Their season averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game contrast with Gimnasia's lower scoring average. In the Clausura figures supplied for this meeting, Independiente have scored 20 and conceded 23. Both teams have found the net in three of their last five matches, another relevant detail ahead of a game in which both sides have reason to pursue a win.
Three of Independiente Rivadavia's last ten away league matches have ended goalless. That statistic concerns the total score in those games, rather than Independiente's scoring record alone. It is a reminder that an open match is not guaranteed, even with a place in the next round at stake.
The most recent meeting gives this fixture an extra reference point. Independiente Rivadavia won 5-1 on April 26, 2026, although Gimnasia scored first in that Apertura encounter. The wider head-to-head summary favors Gimnasia by three wins to two, with no draws, despite that heavy defeat in the latest game. These results show that the recent meeting was not representative of a one-sided head-to-head record.
Current form offers no clear-cut favorite. Gimnasia have taken one win from their last five matches and have struggled for goals across that span; Independiente have also won only once in five, while conceding an average of two goals per game. The supplied win probabilities are similarly close: 38% for Gimnasia, 27% for a draw and 34% for Independiente Rivadavia. With victory offering a way to advance without depending on other matches, neither side has the luxury of treating the result lightly.
The case for goals at both ends rests on Gimnasia's last two league scores, Independiente's three both-teams-scoring results in five matches, and the fact that each side scored in April's 5-1 meeting. Those indicators must be weighed against Gimnasia's recent average of just 0.6 goals per match and the goalless games in each team's home or away sample. It makes for a finely balanced Mendoza derby rather than a straightforward expectation of a high-scoring game.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Independiente Rivadavia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
9
1
8
2