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Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
1 - 0
FT
Newell's Old Boys
Prediction published on Oct 12, 2026 10:01 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Oct 12, 2026 10:01 AM
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza host Newell's Old Boys in Argentina's Liga Profesional de Fútbol on October 12, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 21:30 local time at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte. The sides sit close together in the supplied league ranking, Gimnasia in eighth and Newell's in seventh, but their recent results tell different stories. Gimnasia have gone four matches without a win after taking five victories from their first seven Clausura fixtures. Newell's, by contrast, are unbeaten in seven games, although draws have accounted for much of that run. With both teams averaging one goal scored per match across the season, this fixture brings form and scoring trends into focus.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza made an impressive start to the Clausura, winning five of their opening seven matches and reaching the top of their group during that early stretch. Their momentum has since faded. Draws against Deportivo Riestra and Boca Juniors were followed by defeats to Estudiantes and Defensa y Justicia, leaving Gimnasia without a victory in four games. They have also failed to score in their last three matches, a concern as they prepare to face an opponent that has proved difficult to beat.
The most recent result supplied for Gimnasia is a 3-0 defeat to Estudiantes on October 5. Across their last five matches, they have recorded one win, two draws and two losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal and conceding 1.4 per game. Their wider Liga Profesional de Fútbol record stands at 10 wins, six draws and 11 defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded. Those figures show why ending the current goalless sequence would be significant: Gimnasia's results have deteriorated at the same time as their attack has fallen quiet.
There are signs of tight passages in Gimnasia's match data, though not every statistic points to a scoreless contest. At least one team has failed to score in the second half in 37 of their last 40 matches. Two of Gimnasia's last 10 home games have finished without a goal from either side. Playing at home offers them an opportunity to arrest their winless run, but their recent record gives them work to do against a Newell's side that has continued to collect points.
Newell's Old Boys arrive on a seven-match unbeaten run comprising three wins and four draws. They beat Platense on their most recent trip away from home and have lost only two of their 11 Clausura matches. That is a change from the Apertura campaign described in the source material, in which they finished 14th after seven defeats. Newell's now sit seventh in the supplied league ranking, one place above their hosts.
Their latest reported match was a 0-0 draw with Lanús on October 3. Over the last five games, Newell's have taken one win and four draws, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. Their ability to avoid defeat has therefore not depended on frequent scoring in that spell. For the season as a whole, they have seven wins, 11 draws and nine losses in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, averaging 1.0 goal for and 1.3 against per match. The contrast between those season-long figures and their recent defensive average makes their current run particularly relevant to this preview.
The opening halves of Newell's matches have regularly been restrained. Their last 13 league games have all featured fewer than 1.5 first-half goals, while at least one side has failed to score before half-time in 29 of their last 30 league fixtures. A separate all-match sample records the same first-half scoring pattern in 30 of their last 31 games. These trends do not establish what will happen on October 12, but they provide context for a matchup involving two teams with modest recent scoring averages.
The key question is whether Gimnasia can recover their scoring touch against visitors who have conceded an average of only 0.4 goals across their last five matches. Gimnasia's early Clausura victories demonstrate that they have put together a strong run this campaign, yet their four-game winless stretch and three successive matches without scoring carry more immediate weight. Newell's have been more consistent lately, though four draws in their last five fixtures underline how often their games remain close rather than producing a clear winner.
The teams' most recent head-to-head meeting finished 1-0 to Newell's Old Boys on March 21, 2026. It is one result rather than a guarantee of another narrow game, but it fits alongside the current scoring figures: Gimnasia average 1.0 goal across their last five matches, Newell's average 0.6, and the visitors' recent defensive average is 0.4. The supplied over/under figures put Under 2.5 goals at 58% and Over 2.5 at 42%. Taken together, the recent form, first-half trends and previous meeting make the total-goals market a fitting focus, while leaving room for either side to change the pattern on the day.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Newell's Old Boys
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
6
4
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0