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Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
6:30 PM
August 1, 2026
Unión Santa Fe
Prediction published on Jul 30, 2026 7:08 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Jul 30, 2026 7:08 PM
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza host Unión Santa Fe on August 1, 2026, in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, with the teams ranked eighth and tenth respectively. The home side enter the fixture after a narrow defeat, while the visitors return to action following a high-scoring draw. Recent results suggest a closely balanced contest: Gimnasia have collected three wins from their last five matches, whereas Unión have won once during the same period. Goal statistics also provide contrasting signals, as Gimnasia’s games have regularly stayed below four goals while Unión’s recent fixtures have consistently produced at least two. Those patterns make the balance between defensive control and second-half attacking activity a central theme of this matchup.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza come into this match following a 1-0 defeat against San Lorenzo on July 28, 2026. That result followed their 1-0 victory over Central Córdoba in the opening round of the Clausura, meaning only one team scored in each of their first two tournament fixtures. Their early results therefore underline how narrow the margins have been, with a single goal deciding both games.
Across their latest five matches, Gimnasia have registered three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goal and conceding 1.4 per game. Their broader Liga Profesional de Fútbol record stands at six victories, four draws and eight losses. Over that longer sample, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, figures which point to a team whose matches can be shaped by efficiency in a limited number of decisive moments.
The strongest recurring trend concerns the overall number of goals. Under 3.5 goals has landed in 37 of Gimnasia’s last 40 matches, showing that their fixtures have rarely developed into very high-scoring contests. There is also a notable second-half pattern: at least one of the two teams failed to score after the interval in 39 of their previous 40 games. That does not mean the second half must be goalless, but it does indicate that both sides finding the net during that period has been exceptionally uncommon in Gimnasia matches.
The home setting has produced another relevant trend. In 11 of Gimnasia’s last 16 home fixtures, both teams did not score. Combined with the two one-sided scoring outcomes at the beginning of the Clausura, this reinforces the importance of the opening goal. If Gimnasia move ahead, their recent numbers suggest they may look to protect a narrow advantage; if they concede first, their season scoring average highlights the challenge involved in recovering.
Unión Santa Fe most recently drew 2-2 with Platense on July 25, 2026. The visitors have played one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their current form has therefore been mixed, with neither victories nor clean defensive performances arriving consistently over this short sequence.
Unión’s season record in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol is six wins, seven draws and six defeats. They have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, giving them a higher season scoring average than Gimnasia. However, their latest five-game attacking average is substantially lower, so the central question is whether the visitors can reproduce their broader season output or remain closer to their recent rate of less than one goal per match.
Unlike the home side’s strong under-3.5 trend, Unión have repeatedly been involved in matches containing at least two goals. Over 1.5 total goals has occurred in each of their last 15 fixtures and in their last 13 Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches. Only eight of their previous 40 games finished without a goal, further illustrating that completely scoreless contests have been relatively uncommon for Unión.
The second half has been particularly active in the visitors’ league matches. At least one goal after the interval has been recorded in their last 14 Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixtures, as well as in each of their previous 11 away games in the competition. The same outcome occurred in 18 of their last 20 matches across the wider sample. Even if the opening period is cautious, Unión’s recent record suggests that the match may become more eventful after the break.
The matchup brings together two different statistical profiles. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have played 37 of their last 40 matches with fewer than four total goals, and their first two Clausura games were both decided 1-0. Unión Santa Fe, by contrast, have seen at least two goals in 15 consecutive matches, with second-half goals also appearing consistently in their league and away fixtures. The contest may therefore depend on which side can impose its preferred type of game.
Gimnasia’s recent record is the stronger of the two over five matches, with three victories compared with Unión’s one. The hosts are also given a 42% win probability in the supplied match data, while the draw and an Unión victory are each listed at 29%. Nevertheless, Unión’s season numbers show a slightly better overall balance between wins, draws and defeats, alongside a higher average of goals scored.
The previous meeting adds another useful reference point. Unión won that top-flight encounter 4-0 on February 3, 2026, and both teams did not score. The broader head-to-head summary contains one win for each side and no draw, with Gimnasia averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.5 conceded across those meetings. Although the sample is limited, it shows that the fixture has previously produced decisive outcomes rather than shared points.
From a match-flow perspective, the opening stages could be especially important. Gimnasia’s two Clausura results were settled by the only goal of the game, while Unión’s repeated second-half goal trend suggests the visitors can remain involved even if the first half offers few clear breakthroughs. With the teams separated by only two ranking places, this Liga Profesional de Fútbol preview points toward a competitive encounter in which defensive concentration, conversion of limited chances and performance after the interval may determine the final result.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Unión Santa Fe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1