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Girona
3 - 0
FT
Athletic Club
Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 1:00 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 1:00 AM
The Municipal de Montilivi Stadium will host an intriguing LaLiga EA Sports clash between Girona FC and Athletic Club, corresponding to matchday 28. Both sides arrive under pressure to secure three vital points that could shape their immediate future in the league table. The Catalans are currently 15th with 31 points, while the Basques sit 10th with 35, a narrow gap that adds extra tension to this encounter. Historically, the head-to-head record slightly favors Athletic Club, but Girona’s home advantage could prove decisive this time.
Girona FC come into this fixture after a 1-1 draw against Levante on March 7, a result that reflected both their resilience and their ongoing struggle to convert dominance into victories. In their last five matches, Girona have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 10 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
One of the most consistent trends in Girona’s games has been their second-half activity: over 0.5 goals have been scored in 30 of their last 33 matches, and in 28 of their last 31 LaLiga fixtures. This pattern suggests that Montilivi often witnesses late drama, with the team showing determination to fight until the final whistle. Despite their mid-table position, Girona’s home performances have been competitive, and their supporters will expect a strong reaction after several tight results.
Injuries have been a concern for the Catalan side, with several key players unavailable, but the squad depth allows them to remain competitive. The likes of Roca and Tsygankov have been instrumental in maintaining attacking balance, and the team’s collective effort will be crucial to overcome a disciplined opponent like Athletic Club.
Athletic Club suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat against FC Barcelona in their most recent outing on March 7. Although the scoreline was tight, the Basques struggled to impose their rhythm for long stretches. In their last five matches, they have achieved two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 10 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Defensively, the team has shown vulnerability, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 17 matches. Moreover, they have not led at half-time in 21 of their last 22 away games, a statistic that highlights their slow starts on the road. However, their attacking potential remains notable, and their ability to respond in the second half keeps them competitive in most fixtures. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of their last 13 LaLiga matches, confirming their tendency to grow into games as time progresses.
Despite their inconsistent form, Athletic Club remain a dangerous opponent, capable of capitalizing on defensive lapses. Their physical approach and pressing intensity often create opportunities, especially in the latter stages of matches. The challenge for them will be to maintain concentration and efficiency in front of goal, something that has eluded them in several recent outings.
This encounter promises to be a balanced and competitive affair between two sides eager to return to winning ways. Girona will rely on their home support and attacking persistence, while Athletic Club will look to exploit transitions and set pieces. The head-to-head record slightly favors the visitors, with two wins and two draws in the last five meetings, but Girona’s last home victory against Athletic (2-1 in the 2024–25 season) remains a positive reference point for the Catalans.
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, which could lead to an open contest, especially in the second half. The statistical balance between them—Girona’s 36% win probability against Athletic’s 38%—reflects the fine margins expected in this fixture. Given their respective trends, a match with goals on both sides seems plausible, though neither team has been particularly dominant in recent weeks.
Ultimately, Girona’s need for points and home advantage could tilt the balance slightly in their favor, but Athletic’s resilience ensures that any outcome remains possible until the final whistle. Expect a tight, hard-fought battle with moments of intensity and late drama at Montilivi.
Girona vs Athletic Club prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Girona
Athletic Club
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2