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Girona vs FC Barcelona Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 16-02-2026

Girona

2 - 1

FT

FC Barcelona

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
César Soto Grado
broken clouds 11.43 °C

Prediction published on Feb 15, 2026 12:01 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Feb 15, 2026 12:01 AM

The 24th round of LaLiga EA Sports concludes with a thrilling Catalan derby between Girona FC and FC Barcelona at the Municipal de Montilivi. This encounter brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions: Girona aiming to consolidate mid-table stability, and Barcelona seeking to extend their dominance at the top of the standings. With both teams known for their attacking style, fans can expect a lively contest full of intensity and goal-scoring opportunities.


Girona’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Girona approach this match after a 1-1 draw against Sevilla on February 8, a result that reflected their balanced but inconsistent campaign. The team currently sits 12th in LaLiga with 26 points, having recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats. Their recent run of form shows 2 victories, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last five matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Despite not being prolific in attack, Girona’s defensive organization has allowed them to remain competitive in most fixtures.


Statistically, Girona’s matches tend to be tight affairs. Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 15 games, and the same trend continues in their last 13 LaLiga fixtures. The first halves are often cautious, with under 1.5 goals recorded before the break in 19 of their last 21 league games. However, the second half usually opens up — there have been over 0.5 goals after halftime in 36 of their last 40 matches. At home, their games are also low on corners, with under 7.5 corners in each of their last five league appearances at Montilivi.


Girona’s main challenge will be to contain Barcelona’s offensive power while trying to exploit any defensive gaps. Their recent head-to-head record shows two wins in the last five meetings, but they have conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game against the Catalan giants. To get a result, Girona will need to maintain their compact structure and capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks.


FC Barcelona’s Recent Form and Key Stats


FC Barcelona arrive as league leaders with 58 points, boasting 19 wins, 1 draw, and only 3 defeats. They come off a convincing 3-0 victory over Mallorca, though their last outing in the Copa del Rey ended in a heavy 4-0 defeat to Atlético Madrid. Despite that setback, Barcelona remain one of the most consistent attacking sides in Spain, averaging 2.7 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per match this season.


Their offensive reliability is remarkable: over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 40 matches, and they have found the net in 38 of their last 40 games overall. In LaLiga, they have scored in 26 consecutive matches and have not drawn in their last 22. Away from home, the trend continues — over 1.5 goals have been scored in their last 14 away league fixtures, and they have netted in all of them. The second halves of their matches are particularly productive, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 23 of their last 24 games.


Barcelona’s attacking depth and consistency make them clear favorites, but their defensive line has shown occasional vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.4 goals in their last five matches. Maintaining focus against a disciplined Girona side will be essential to avoid surprises. Historically, Barcelona have won three of the last five meetings between the two, including a 2-1 victory earlier this season on October 18, 2025.


Girona vs FC Barcelona Tactical Overview and Prediction


This Catalan derby promises to be an open and entertaining affair. Both teams enjoy possession-based football, but their approaches differ: Girona tend to build patiently from the back, while Barcelona’s high pressing and quick transitions often overwhelm opponents. Given the attacking tendencies of both sides and their recent goal-scoring patterns, another high-scoring match seems likely.


Girona’s defensive discipline could keep them competitive for long stretches, yet Barcelona’s superior firepower and form make them strong favorites to claim all three points. The visitors have won at halftime in 8 of their last 13 league games, often setting the tone early. However, Girona’s resilience at home means the match could remain balanced until the final stages.


Historically, encounters between these two sides have produced plenty of goals — the last five meetings have averaged five goals per game. With both teams capable of finding the net and Barcelona’s attack in full flow, fans should expect an exciting contest with multiple scoring chances.


Girona vs FC Barcelona prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.

Girona vs FC Barcelona - Predictions

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Girona vs FC Barcelona: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Girona

FC Barcelona

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Girona and FC Barcelona in La Liga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

FC Barcelona

38

31

1

6

95:36

94

2.47

W
W
L
W
L
19

Girona

38

9

14

15

39:55

41

1.08

L
D
D
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Girona vs FC Barcelona: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Girona vs FC Barcelona be played?
The La Liga match between Girona and FC Barcelona will be played on February 16, 2026 at 20:00.
Where will Girona vs FC Barcelona be played?
The match between Girona and FC Barcelona will be played at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona - Spain
Who will referee Girona vs FC Barcelona?
The referee for the match will be César Soto Grado.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Girona vs FC Barcelona in the La Liga?
The odds are: Girona to win 7.50, draw 5.75, FC Barcelona to win 1.33.
What are the betting odds for Girona vs FC Barcelona for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.33 and Under 2.5 at 3.40.
Will both Girona and FC Barcelona score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.57, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.25.
What is the most likely correct score for Girona vs FC Barcelona in the La Liga?
The most likely correct score is 1-2, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Girona and FC Barcelona?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Girona and FC Barcelona, Girona won 2 times, FC Barcelona won 3, and 0 ended in a draw.

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