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Prediction published on Jan 24, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Jan 24, 2026 9:02 PM
The 21st round of LaLiga EA Sports will close with an intriguing clash at the Municipal de Montilivi, where Girona FC host Getafe FC. Both sides are separated by just three points in the standings, yet their current momentum could not be more different. The Catalan outfit approach this fixture in high spirits after a convincing 0-2 victory over Espanyol, while the visitors suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat against Valencia. With Girona sitting 12th and Getafe 16th, this encounter could have a significant impact on the mid-table battle.
Girona FC have shown clear signs of improvement in recent weeks. Their latest 0-2 win over Espanyol on January 16 confirmed a positive trend, with the team now boasting four wins in their last five matches across all competitions. During this period, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game while conceding just 1.0. Over the course of the season, Girona’s LaLiga record stands at six wins, six draws and eight defeats, with an average of one goal scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
Defensively, Girona have become more compact, as reflected by the fact that under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 12 matches. Their games tend to start cautiously, but they often find rhythm as the match progresses — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 35 of their last 39 fixtures. Interestingly, Girona have also won at half time in their last three LaLiga matches, showing a growing ability to take early control of games.
At home, the Catalans have been disciplined, with under 7.5 corners taken in each of their last four league matches at Montilivi. Their fans will expect another solid performance, especially given that Girona have managed to keep their opponents quiet before the break in most of their recent outings — at least one team failed to score at half time in 30 of their last 32 LaLiga matches.
Getafe FC arrive in Girona in a difficult moment. Their 0-1 loss to Valencia on January 18 extended a poor run of results, with no wins in their last five matches (one draw and four defeats). During this stretch, they have averaged just 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 2.2. Over the season, Getafe’s record in LaLiga stands at six wins, three draws and eleven losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
The Azulones have struggled to impose themselves early in matches — they haven’t led at half time in their last 16 league games and have lost at half time in their last four away fixtures. Their matches tend to be tight and low-scoring, as under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 26 of their last 27 LaLiga encounters. Despite these numbers, Getafe often see more action after the break, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in 21 of their last 23 matches.
On the road, Getafe’s defensive approach has not always paid off, as they have lost at half time in seven of their last eleven away games. Their lack of attacking efficiency remains a concern, and unless they find a way to convert chances, they could face another uphill battle at Montilivi.
The recent history between these two sides is balanced but slightly favors Getafe. In their last five meetings, the Madrid-based club have claimed three wins, while Girona have won twice. Their most recent encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Getafe on October 31, 2025. Across those five matches, Girona have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, suggesting that encounters between these teams are often closely contested.
Given Girona’s current form and home advantage, they are expected to take the initiative. The Catalans have been efficient in front of goal recently and have shown resilience when defending a lead. Getafe, on the other hand, will likely adopt a compact structure, aiming to frustrate their opponents and capitalize on counterattacks. However, their recent lack of creativity and poor away record could make it difficult to secure points in this fixture.
From a tactical standpoint, Girona’s ability to press high and transition quickly could be decisive, especially against a Getafe side that tends to sit deep. The hosts will look to maintain their momentum and continue climbing the table, while the visitors must find a way to halt their negative streak.
According to the latest data, Girona have a 41% probability of winning, while the draw stands at 26% and a Getafe win at 33%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option holds a 53% likelihood, and the Under 2.5 goals scenario is slightly favored at 52%.
Considering Girona’s strong recent form and Getafe’s struggles away from home, the balance tilts towards the hosts. The Catalans have been consistent in low-scoring matches, and their defensive improvement suggests a controlled performance could be on the cards.
Girona vs Getafe prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 41% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Girona
Getafe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
7
3
8
2
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0